Market icon

Who will be the Speaker of the House?

Market icon

Who will be the Speaker of the House?

Mike Johnson 100.0%

Jim Jordan <1%

Byron Donalds <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Polymarket

$188,408,381 交易量

Mike Johnson 100.0%

Jim Jordan <1%

Byron Donalds <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Polymarket

$188,408,381 交易量

Market icon

Jim Jordan

$357,192 交易量

No

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$47,176 交易量

No

Market icon

Elon Musk

$1,649,996 交易量

No

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$234,920 交易量

No

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Thomas Massie

$282,843 交易量

No

Market icon

Mike Johnson

$2,104,865 交易量

Yes

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Tom Emmer

$130,851 交易量

No

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Hakeem Jeffries

$467,192 交易量

No

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Steve Scalise

$146,096 交易量

No

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Pete Sessions

$219,278 交易量

No

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Jack Bergman

$58,633,496 交易量

No

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Austin Scott

$67,258,994 交易量

No

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Donald Trump

$2,724,300 交易量

No

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Elise Stefanik

$54,151,184 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market.

If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$188,408,381
结束日期
Feb 1, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 6, 2024, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will be the Speaker of the House?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Mike Johnson",概率为 100%,其次是"Jim Jordan",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Who will be the Speaker of the House?"已产生 $188.4 million 的总交易量(自Nov 6, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will be the Speaker of the House?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will be the Speaker of the House?"的当前领先者是"Mike Johnson",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Jim Jordan",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will be the Speaker of the House?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。