**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections across at least four National Assembly constituencies, reflecting the party's entrenched majority from prior elections and strongholds in districts like Incheon Gyeyang B and Gyeonggi Ansan-gap.** Recent polls show DP candidates leading decisively, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung's administration momentum since the 2025 snap presidential victory, while the opposition People Power Party (PPP) reels from its nomination committee's en masse resignation three days ago amid internal disarray ahead of concurrent local elections. With strategic DP nominations finalized despite minor disputes, odds imply near-lock for DP dominance; upset scenarios include late-breaking scandals, candidate withdrawals, or unified PPP surges in swing areas, though structural incumbency advantages limit feasibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于韩国共同民主党（DP） 96.1%
国民力量党（PPP） 3.2%
改革党（RP） 2.6%
重建韩国党（RKP） 2.4%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
国民力量党（PPP）
3%
韩国共同民主党（DP）
96%
重建韩国党（RKP）
2%
进步党（PP）
2%
改革党（RP）
3%
韩国共同民主党（DP） 96.1%
国民力量党（PPP） 3.2%
改革党（RP） 2.6%
重建韩国党（RKP） 2.4%
最新
最新
2026-06-03
国民力量党（PPP）
$474 交易量
3%
韩国共同民主党（DP）
$1,799 交易量
96%
重建韩国党（RKP）
$0 交易量
2%
进步党（PP）
$0 交易量
2%
改革党（RP）
$0 交易量
3%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections across at least four National Assembly constituencies, reflecting the party's entrenched majority from prior elections and strongholds in districts like Incheon Gyeyang B and Gyeonggi Ansan-gap.** Recent polls show DP candidates leading decisively, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung's administration momentum since the 2025 snap presidential victory, while the opposition People Power Party (PPP) reels from its nomination committee's en masse resignation three days ago amid internal disarray ahead of concurrent local elections. With strategic DP nominations finalized despite minor disputes, odds imply near-lock for DP dominance; upset scenarios include late-breaking scandals, candidate withdrawals, or unified PPP surges in swing areas, though structural incumbency advantages limit feasibility.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市场开放时间： Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
交易量
$2,274结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections across at least four National Assembly constituencies, reflecting the party's entrenched majority from prior elections and strongholds in districts like Incheon Gyeyang B and Gyeonggi Ansan-gap.** Recent polls show DP candidates leading decisively, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung's administration momentum since the 2025 snap presidential victory, while the opposition People Power Party (PPP) reels from its nomination committee's en masse resignation three days ago amid internal disarray ahead of concurrent local elections. With strategic DP nominations finalized despite minor disputes, odds imply near-lock for DP dominance; upset scenarios include late-breaking scandals, candidate withdrawals, or unified PPP surges in swing areas, though structural incumbency advantages limit feasibility.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
交易量
$2,274结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections across at least four National Assembly constituencies, reflecting the party's entrenched majority from prior elections and strongholds in districts like Incheon Gyeyang B and Gyeonggi Ansan-gap.** Recent polls show DP candidates leading decisively, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung's administration momentum since the 2025 snap presidential victory, while the opposition People Power Party (PPP) reels from its nomination committee's en masse resignation three days ago amid internal disarray ahead of concurrent local elections. With strategic DP nominations finalized despite minor disputes, odds imply near-lock for DP dominance; upset scenarios include late-breaking scandals, candidate withdrawals, or unified PPP surges in swing areas, though structural incumbency advantages limit feasibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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