President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating, holding steady above 62% in late March polls for three consecutive weeks—the highest since his June 2025 inauguration—has bolstered the ruling Democratic Party of Korea's dominance ahead of the June 3 National Assembly by-elections, contested alongside nationwide local elections across at least four constituencies like Incheon Yeonsu-gap and Gyeyang-eul, mostly vacated by DP lawmakers pursuing mayoral bids. Preliminary surveys show DP candidates leading in key districts, such as 50% support in Incheon races, amid ongoing party primaries and minor internal nomination disputes. Trader consensus prices DP to claim the most seats, reflecting its polling edge over opposition People Power Party and minor parties like Reform and Progressive, with results hinging on turnout and final candidate slates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于韩国共同民主党(DP) 97.7%
国民力量党(PPP) 10.4%
改革党(RP) 2.8%
重建韩国党(RKP) 2.6%

国民力量党(PPP)
10%

韩国共同民主党(DP)
89%

重建韩国党(RKP)
3%

进步党(PP)
2%

改革党(RP)
3%
韩国共同民主党(DP) 97.7%
国民力量党(PPP) 10.4%
改革党(RP) 2.8%
重建韩国党(RKP) 2.6%

国民力量党(PPP)
10%

韩国共同民主党(DP)
89%

重建韩国党(RKP)
3%

进步党(PP)
2%

改革党(RP)
3%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市场开放时间: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating, holding steady above 62% in late March polls for three consecutive weeks—the highest since his June 2025 inauguration—has bolstered the ruling Democratic Party of Korea's dominance ahead of the June 3 National Assembly by-elections, contested alongside nationwide local elections across at least four constituencies like Incheon Yeonsu-gap and Gyeyang-eul, mostly vacated by DP lawmakers pursuing mayoral bids. Preliminary surveys show DP candidates leading in key districts, such as 50% support in Incheon races, amid ongoing party primaries and minor internal nomination disputes. Trader consensus prices DP to claim the most seats, reflecting its polling edge over opposition People Power Party and minor parties like Reform and Progressive, with results hinging on turnout and final candidate slates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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