Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first ballistic missile at Israel since the US-Israel war with Iran began, intercepted by Israeli defenses, while Iran struck Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan air base, injuring over a dozen US troops. Saudi Arabia, upholding a fragile truce with Houthis since ending its 2015 intervention, intercepted the threats but has conducted no airstrikes or ground operations into Houthi-controlled northern Yemen. Riyadh warns of retaliation to direct Houthi attacks on its territory, amid intelligence of potential drone or missile strikes, yet prioritizes diplomacy and leverages strengthened Saudi-backed Yemeni forces from January southern campaigns against separatists. Pakistan hosts talks tomorrow involving Saudi officials, potentially averting full re-escalation before the market's March 31 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$35,956 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
7%
4月30日
31%
$35,956 交易量
3月31日
$27,275 交易量
7%
4月30日
$8,707 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first ballistic missile at Israel since the US-Israel war with Iran began, intercepted by Israeli defenses, while Iran struck Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan air base, injuring over a dozen US troops. Saudi Arabia, upholding a fragile truce with Houthis since ending its 2015 intervention, intercepted the threats but has conducted no airstrikes or ground operations into Houthi-controlled northern Yemen. Riyadh warns of retaliation to direct Houthi attacks on its territory, amid intelligence of potential drone or missile strikes, yet prioritizes diplomacy and leverages strengthened Saudi-backed Yemeni forces from January southern campaigns against separatists. Pakistan hosts talks tomorrow involving Saudi officials, potentially averting full re-escalation before the market's March 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ET
交易量
$35,956结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first ballistic missile at Israel since the US-Israel war with Iran began, intercepted by Israeli defenses, while Iran struck Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan air base, injuring over a dozen US troops. Saudi Arabia, upholding a fragile truce with Houthis since ending its 2015 intervention, intercepted the threats but has conducted no airstrikes or ground operations into Houthi-controlled northern Yemen. Riyadh warns of retaliation to direct Houthi attacks on its territory, amid intelligence of potential drone or missile strikes, yet prioritizes diplomacy and leverages strengthened Saudi-backed Yemeni forces from January southern campaigns against separatists. Pakistan hosts talks tomorrow involving Saudi officials, potentially averting full re-escalation before the market's March 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$35,956结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first ballistic missile at Israel since the US-Israel war with Iran began, intercepted by Israeli defenses, while Iran struck Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan air base, injuring over a dozen US troops. Saudi Arabia, upholding a fragile truce with Houthis since ending its 2015 intervention, intercepted the threats but has conducted no airstrikes or ground operations into Houthi-controlled northern Yemen. Riyadh warns of retaliation to direct Houthi attacks on its territory, amid intelligence of potential drone or missile strikes, yet prioritizes diplomacy and leverages strengthened Saudi-backed Yemeni forces from January southern campaigns against separatists. Pakistan hosts talks tomorrow involving Saudi officials, potentially averting full re-escalation before the market's March 31 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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