Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change (96.8%) in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its April 8 Monetary Policy Review, aligning with the central bank's February 2026 decision to hold at 2.25% amid projections of consumer price inflation returning to the 1-3% target band this quarter and settling near the 2% midpoint over the next year. Spare capacity (output gap -1.5% of potential GDP), modest wage growth, and a 5.4% unemployment rate underpin expectations of sustained disinflation, outweighing prior energy shock concerns from March. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly persistent tradables inflation ahead of the post-meeting Q1 CPI release around April 20, or hawkish signals in the expanded policy communications.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于不变 97.0%
提高 2.4%
下调 <1%
$26,671 交易量
$26,671 交易量
2026-04-07
下调
<1%
不变
97%
提高
2%
不变 97.0%
提高 2.4%
下调 <1%
$26,671 交易量
$26,671 交易量
2026-04-07
下调
$5,954 交易量
<1%
不变
$8,124 交易量
97%
提高
$12,593 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change (96.8%) in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its April 8 Monetary Policy Review, aligning with the central bank's February 2026 decision to hold at 2.25% amid projections of consumer price inflation returning to the 1-3% target band this quarter and settling near the 2% midpoint over the next year. Spare capacity (output gap -1.5% of potential GDP), modest wage growth, and a 5.4% unemployment rate underpin expectations of sustained disinflation, outweighing prior energy shock concerns from March. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly persistent tradables inflation ahead of the post-meeting Q1 CPI release around April 20, or hawkish signals in the expanded policy communications.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$26,671结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change (96.8%) in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its April 8 Monetary Policy Review, aligning with the central bank's February 2026 decision to hold at 2.25% amid projections of consumer price inflation returning to the 1-3% target band this quarter and settling near the 2% midpoint over the next year. Spare capacity (output gap -1.5% of potential GDP), modest wage growth, and a 5.4% unemployment rate underpin expectations of sustained disinflation, outweighing prior energy shock concerns from March. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly persistent tradables inflation ahead of the post-meeting Q1 CPI release around April 20, or hawkish signals in the expanded policy communications.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$26,671结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change (96.8%) in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its April 8 Monetary Policy Review, aligning with the central bank's February 2026 decision to hold at 2.25% amid projections of consumer price inflation returning to the 1-3% target band this quarter and settling near the 2% midpoint over the next year. Spare capacity (output gap -1.5% of potential GDP), modest wage growth, and a 5.4% unemployment rate underpin expectations of sustained disinflation, outweighing prior energy shock concerns from March. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly persistent tradables inflation ahead of the post-meeting Q1 CPI release around April 20, or hawkish signals in the expanded policy communications.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题