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奥斯卡2026：最佳影片提名

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奥斯卡2026：最佳影片提名

$1,946,871 交易量

Jan 22, 2026
Polymarket

$1,946,871 交易量

Polymarket

哈姆内特

$266,877 交易量

是

分组项标题：罪人

$89,757 交易量

是

分组项标题：One Battle After Another

$368,255 交易量

是

分组项标题：Sentimental Value

$27,788 交易量

是

Marty Supreme

$59,511 交易量

是

分组条目标题：Wicked: For Good

$99,260 交易量

否

分组项标题：A House of Dynamite

$21,218 交易量

否

Bugonia

$72,065 交易量

是

分组项标题：这只是一个意外

$58,857 交易量

否

《阿凡达：火焰与灰烬》

$61,779 交易量

否

杰伊·凯利

$73,567 交易量

否

No Other Choice

$53,823 交易量

否

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$10,615 交易量

否

弗兰肯斯坦

$68,735 交易量

是

粉碎机器

$36,537 交易量

否

The Testament of Ann Lee

$40,745 交易量

否

Sorry Baby

$14,553 交易量

否

Rental Family

$38,826 交易量

否

武器

$42,585 交易量

否

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$10,088 交易量

否

分组项标题：Anemone

$43,129 交易量

否

F1

$73,401 交易量

是

查克的一生

$45,753 交易量

否

The Lost Bus

$20,143 交易量

否

Thunderbolts

$21,049 交易量

否

分组项标题：Train Dreams

$66,034 交易量

是

Nouvelle Vague

$14,403 交易量

否

分组项标题：After the Hunt

$2,362 交易量

否

Die My Love

$49,097 交易量

否

Warfare

$7,023 交易量

否

落下的声音

$3,348 交易量

否

Highest 2 Lowest

$50,517 交易量

否

诺沃卡因

$4,078 交易量

否

特务密令

$28,163 交易量

是

蓝月

$2,928 交易量

否

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,946,871
结束日期
Jan 22, 2026
市场开放时间
Sep 26, 2025, 5:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"奥斯卡2026：最佳影片提名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 35 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"哈姆内特"，概率为 100%，其次是"分组项标题：罪人"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"奥斯卡2026：最佳影片提名"已产生 $1.9 million 的总交易量（自Sep 26, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"奥斯卡2026：最佳影片提名"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 35 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"奥斯卡2026：最佳影片提名"的当前领先者是"哈姆内特"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题：罪人"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"奥斯卡2026：最佳影片提名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。