Market icon

Oscars: Best Actor

Market icon

Oscars: Best Actor

Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer 0

Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers 0

Colman Domingo - Rustin 0

Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction 0

Polymarket

$345,217 交易量

Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer 0

Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers 0

Colman Domingo - Rustin 0

Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction 0

Polymarket

$345,217 交易量

Market icon

Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer

$108,524 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers

$52,277 交易量

No

Market icon

Colman Domingo - Rustin

$25,086 交易量

No

Market icon

Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction

$22,550 交易量

No

Market icon

Andrew Scott - All of Us Strangers

$1,149 交易量

No

Market icon

Leonardo DiCaprio - KoFM

$7,646 交易量

No

Market icon

Bradley Cooper - Maestro

$48,021 交易量

No

Market icon

Nicolas Cage - Dream Scenario

$4,824 交易量

No

Market icon

Other

$75,140 交易量

No

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cillian Murphy wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paul Giamatti wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colman Domingo wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeffrey Wright wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Scott wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo DiCaprio wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bradley Cooper wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Cage wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the film which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone else other than Cillian Murphy, Paul Giamatti, Colman Domingo, Jeffrey Wright, Andrew Scott, Leonardo DiCaprio, Bradley Cooper, and Nicolas Cage wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone else other than Cillian Murphy, Paul Giamatti, Colman Domingo, Jeffrey Wright, Andrew Scott, Leonardo DiCaprio, Bradley Cooper, and Nicolas Cage wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$345,217
结束日期
Mar 10, 2024
市场开放时间
Jan 17, 2024, 6:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

 https://www.oscars.org/

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone else other than Cillian Murphy, Paul Giamatti, Colman Domingo, Jeffrey Wright, Andrew Scott, Leonardo DiCaprio, Bradley Cooper, and Nicolas Cage wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cillian Murphy wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paul Giamatti wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colman Domingo wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeffrey Wright wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Scott wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo DiCaprio wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bradley Cooper wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Cage wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the film which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone else other than Cillian Murphy, Paul Giamatti, Colman Domingo, Jeffrey Wright, Andrew Scott, Leonardo DiCaprio, Bradley Cooper, and Nicolas Cage wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Oscars: Best Actor"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer"，概率为 100%，其次是"Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Oscars: Best Actor"已产生 $345.2K 的总交易量（自Jan 17, 2024市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Oscars: Best Actor"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Oscars: Best Actor"的当前领先者是"Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Oscars: Best Actor"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。