Real-time tracking from the FAA and FlightAware shows US flight delays on March 24 remaining well below 5,000 as of late evening, with favorable nationwide weather and minimal air traffic control issues driving the low count. This aligns with trader consensus pricing <5,000 at 96.2%, reflecting historical base rates for non-disruptive spring days averaging 3,000-4,500 delays among 45,000 daily flights. Absent late-night surges from mechanical failures, crew shortages, or unexpected thunderstorms, this frontrunner holds firm; however, a sudden East Coast winter squall or cyber glitch at a major hub could push totals into 5,000-6,500, challenging the odds in final hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于少于5000 96.2%
6000-6500 1.4%
5000-5500 1.1%
>8000 <1%
$28,844 交易量
$28,844 交易量
少于5000
96%
5000-5500
1%
5500-6000
1%
6000-6500
1%
6500-7000
<1%
7000-7500
1%
7500-8000
<1%
>8000
1%
少于5000 96.2%
6000-6500 1.4%
5000-5500 1.1%
>8000 <1%
$28,844 交易量
$28,844 交易量
少于5000
96%
5000-5500
1%
5500-6000
1%
6000-6500
1%
6500-7000
<1%
7000-7500
1%
7500-8000
<1%
>8000
1%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real-time tracking from the FAA and FlightAware shows US flight delays on March 24 remaining well below 5,000 as of late evening, with favorable nationwide weather and minimal air traffic control issues driving the low count. This aligns with trader consensus pricing <5,000 at 96.2%, reflecting historical base rates for non-disruptive spring days averaging 3,000-4,500 delays among 45,000 daily flights. Absent late-night surges from mechanical failures, crew shortages, or unexpected thunderstorms, this frontrunner holds firm; however, a sudden East Coast winter squall or cyber glitch at a major hub could push totals into 5,000-6,500, challenging the odds in final hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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