Michael Carrick's 64% implied probability as next permanent Manchester United head coach stems from his successful interim stint since Ruben Amorim's January sacking, with seven wins in ten matches propelling the team to third in the Premier League standings and Champions League contention. Players like Bruno Fernandes, Harry Maguire, and Luke Shaw have voiced strong support, alongside staff approval and management rapport, per recent reports. Luis Enrique's withdrawal to stay at PSG over the past week eliminates a key rival at 10%, while Thomas Tuchel and Oliver Glasner linger as external options amid the club's deliberate pace avoiding rushed elite hires. Trader consensus reflects Carrick's club familiarity and stability versus outsider risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于迈克尔·卡里克 64%
路易斯·恩里克 10.1%
托马斯·图赫尔 7.2%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳 7%
$446,621 交易量
$446,621 交易量
2026-12-31
迈克尔·卡里克
64%
路易斯·恩里克
10%
托马斯·图赫尔
7%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳
7%
奥勒·居纳尔·索尔斯克亚
4%
基兰·麦肯纳
3%
恩佐·马雷斯卡
3%
加雷斯·索斯盖特
3%
达伦·弗莱彻
2%
哈维·阿隆索
1%
哈维
<1%
洛朗·布兰克
<1%
迈克尔·卡里克 64%
路易斯·恩里克 10.1%
托马斯·图赫尔 7.2%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳 7%
$446,621 交易量
$446,621 交易量
2026-12-31
迈克尔·卡里克
$254,815 交易量
64%
路易斯·恩里克
$3,290 交易量
10%
托马斯·图赫尔
$0 交易量
7%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳
$61,275 交易量
7%
奥勒·居纳尔·索尔斯克亚
$115,363 交易量
4%
基兰·麦肯纳
$7,832 交易量
3%
恩佐·马雷斯卡
$0 交易量
3%
加雷斯·索斯盖特
$0 交易量
3%
达伦·弗莱彻
$0 交易量
2%
哈维·阿隆索
$0 交易量
1%
哈维
$4,046 交易量
<1%
洛朗·布兰克
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Michael Carrick's 64% implied probability as next permanent Manchester United head coach stems from his successful interim stint since Ruben Amorim's January sacking, with seven wins in ten matches propelling the team to third in the Premier League standings and Champions League contention. Players like Bruno Fernandes, Harry Maguire, and Luke Shaw have voiced strong support, alongside staff approval and management rapport, per recent reports. Luis Enrique's withdrawal to stay at PSG over the past week eliminates a key rival at 10%, while Thomas Tuchel and Oliver Glasner linger as external options amid the club's deliberate pace avoiding rushed elite hires. Trader consensus reflects Carrick's club familiarity and stability versus outsider risks.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$446,621结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Michael Carrick's 64% implied probability as next permanent Manchester United head coach stems from his successful interim stint since Ruben Amorim's January sacking, with seven wins in ten matches propelling the team to third in the Premier League standings and Champions League contention. Players like Bruno Fernandes, Harry Maguire, and Luke Shaw have voiced strong support, alongside staff approval and management rapport, per recent reports. Luis Enrique's withdrawal to stay at PSG over the past week eliminates a key rival at 10%, while Thomas Tuchel and Oliver Glasner linger as external options amid the club's deliberate pace avoiding rushed elite hires. Trader consensus reflects Carrick's club familiarity and stability versus outsider risks.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$446,621结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Carrick's 64% implied probability as next permanent Manchester United head coach stems from his successful interim stint since Ruben Amorim's January sacking, with seven wins in ten matches propelling the team to third in the Premier League standings and Champions League contention. Players like Bruno Fernandes, Harry Maguire, and Luke Shaw have voiced strong support, alongside staff approval and management rapport, per recent reports. Luis Enrique's withdrawal to stay at PSG over the past week eliminates a key rival at 10%, while Thomas Tuchel and Oliver Glasner linger as external options amid the club's deliberate pace avoiding rushed elite hires. Trader consensus reflects Carrick's club familiarity and stability versus outsider risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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