With the 2026 NCAA Tournament Final Four set—Arizona (No. 1 seed) facing Michigan (No. 1), and Illinois (No. 3) versus UConn (No. 2)—trader consensus on Polymarket prices Illinois at 55% implied probability to reach the national championship game, driven by their recent Elite Eight dominance and stylistic edge in a projected physical Big Ten grind against UConn. Michigan (53%) holds a slim nod over Arizona (50%) based on tournament momentum and power rankings, while UConn trails at 47% amid questions on depth. No major injuries or suspensions reported in the past 48 hours; all squads arrive rested at neutral-site Indianapolis for April 4 semifinals, where historical Final Four upsets and matchup-specific execution will dictate advancement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$35,687 交易量
2026-04-06
Illinois
55%
Michigan
52%
Arizona
48%
UConn
46%
$35,687 交易量
Illinois
$2,342 交易量
55%
Michigan
$1,768 交易量
52%
Arizona
$3,214 交易量
48%
UConn
$1,988 交易量
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the National Championship game of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the National Championship of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, is disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament National Championship game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 NCAA Tournament Final Four set—Arizona (No. 1 seed) facing Michigan (No. 1), and Illinois (No. 3) versus UConn (No. 2)—trader consensus on Polymarket prices Illinois at 55% implied probability to reach the national championship game, driven by their recent Elite Eight dominance and stylistic edge in a projected physical Big Ten grind against UConn. Michigan (53%) holds a slim nod over Arizona (50%) based on tournament momentum and power rankings, while UConn trails at 47% amid questions on depth. No major injuries or suspensions reported in the past 48 hours; all squads arrive rested at neutral-site Indianapolis for April 4 semifinals, where historical Final Four upsets and matchup-specific execution will dictate advancement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the National Championship game of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the National Championship of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, is disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament National Championship game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the National Championship of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, is disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament National Championship game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 13, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
交易量
$35,687结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the National Championship game of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the National Championship of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, is disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament National Championship game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 NCAA Tournament Final Four set—Arizona (No. 1 seed) facing Michigan (No. 1), and Illinois (No. 3) versus UConn (No. 2)—trader consensus on Polymarket prices Illinois at 55% implied probability to reach the national championship game, driven by their recent Elite Eight dominance and stylistic edge in a projected physical Big Ten grind against UConn. Michigan (53%) holds a slim nod over Arizona (50%) based on tournament momentum and power rankings, while UConn trails at 47% amid questions on depth. No major injuries or suspensions reported in the past 48 hours; all squads arrive rested at neutral-site Indianapolis for April 4 semifinals, where historical Final Four upsets and matchup-specific execution will dictate advancement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the National Championship game of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the National Championship of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, is disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament National Championship game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the National Championship of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, is disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament National Championship game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$35,687结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
With the 2026 NCAA Tournament Final Four set—Arizona (No. 1 seed) facing Michigan (No. 1), and Illinois (No. 3) versus UConn (No. 2)—trader consensus on Polymarket prices Illinois at 55% implied probability to reach the national championship game, driven by their recent Elite Eight dominance and stylistic edge in a projected physical Big Ten grind against UConn. Michigan (53%) holds a slim nod over Arizona (50%) based on tournament momentum and power rankings, while UConn trails at 47% amid questions on depth. No major injuries or suspensions reported in the past 48 hours; all squads arrive rested at neutral-site Indianapolis for April 4 semifinals, where historical Final Four upsets and matchup-specific execution will dictate advancement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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