Paul Skenes holds a slim edge as the defending 2025 NL Cy Young winner with the lowest ERA over the past two seasons (1.96 in 321 IP), but trader consensus remains tightly bunched after his recent spring training stumble—allowing 5 ER in 0.2 IP—which lengthened his implied probability to 24.5%. Pittsburgh Pirates teammate Mitch Keller benefits from rotation depth alongside Skenes, bolstering back-to-back stability in a high-upside staff. Philadelphia Phillies' Cristopher Sanchez surges to 19.5% on dominant spring outings like 6 scoreless IP with 10 K's, while San Diego Padres ace Michael King (18.6%) eyes a top-five finish amid bolstered rotation needs post-Darvish and Cease departures. This competitive NL starter field, blending proven dominance, breakout form, and health uncertainties ahead of Opening Day, keeps the wisdom-of-crowds pricing razor-close among young arms with full-season workloads ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于保罗·斯肯斯 25%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯 20%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基 12.2%
山本由伸 11%
$14,174 交易量
$14,174 交易量
保罗·斯肯斯
25%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯
20%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基
7%
山本由伸
11%
亨特·格林
9%
诺兰·麦克林
6%
耶稣·卢扎多
7%
大谷翔平
6%
克里斯·塞尔
5%
斯宾塞·斯特莱德
5%
泰勒·格拉斯诺
5%
布雷克·斯内尔
5%
尼克·皮韦塔
5%
扎克·惠勒
6%
尤里·佩雷斯
4%
洛根·韦布
2%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔
7%
尼克·洛多洛
1%
斯宾塞·施韦伦巴赫
1%
米奇·凯勒
22%
布兰登·伍德拉夫
5%
迈克尔·金
19%
保罗·斯肯斯 25%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯 20%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基 12.2%
山本由伸 11%
$14,174 交易量
$14,174 交易量
保罗·斯肯斯
25%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯
20%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基
7%
山本由伸
11%
亨特·格林
9%
诺兰·麦克林
6%
耶稣·卢扎多
7%
大谷翔平
6%
克里斯·塞尔
5%
斯宾塞·斯特莱德
5%
泰勒·格拉斯诺
5%
布雷克·斯内尔
5%
尼克·皮韦塔
5%
扎克·惠勒
6%
尤里·佩雷斯
4%
洛根·韦布
2%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔
7%
尼克·洛多洛
1%
斯宾塞·施韦伦巴赫
1%
米奇·凯勒
22%
布兰登·伍德拉夫
5%
迈克尔·金
19%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes holds a slim edge as the defending 2025 NL Cy Young winner with the lowest ERA over the past two seasons (1.96 in 321 IP), but trader consensus remains tightly bunched after his recent spring training stumble—allowing 5 ER in 0.2 IP—which lengthened his implied probability to 24.5%. Pittsburgh Pirates teammate Mitch Keller benefits from rotation depth alongside Skenes, bolstering back-to-back stability in a high-upside staff. Philadelphia Phillies' Cristopher Sanchez surges to 19.5% on dominant spring outings like 6 scoreless IP with 10 K's, while San Diego Padres ace Michael King (18.6%) eyes a top-five finish amid bolstered rotation needs post-Darvish and Cease departures. This competitive NL starter field, blending proven dominance, breakout form, and health uncertainties ahead of Opening Day, keeps the wisdom-of-crowds pricing razor-close among young arms with full-season workloads ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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