Paul Skenes tops trader consensus at 39% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, fueled by his electric 2024 rookie season—1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 innings—and age-23 upside as Pittsburgh's cornerstone ace with triple-digit velocity and pinpoint command. Teammate Mitch Keller (23.7%) gains from Pirates' rotation stability and his reliable 3.91 ERA over 178 frames, while Jesus Luzardo (23.7%) draws bets on injury recovery and Marlins rebuild potential despite a down 2024. Hunter Greene (23.2%) and Michael King (20.8%) reflect breakout velocity (99+ mph fastballs) and workload jumps (200+ innings for King post-trade), with prospect Jacob Misiorowski (20.4%) hyped for Brewers' top-shelf stuff. Recent 2024 award snubs and offseason health reports for veterans like Chris Sale and Yoshinobu Yamamoto temper their shares amid youth-driven momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于保罗·斯肯斯 36%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯 16%
山本由伸 12%
克里斯·塞尔 6.8%
保罗·斯肯斯
36%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯
16%
山本由伸
12%
克里斯·塞尔
7%
扎克·惠勒
6%
大谷翔平
6%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔
5%
尼克·皮韦塔
5%
尤里·佩雷斯
5%
诺兰·麦克林
5%
布兰登·伍德拉夫
5%
泰勒·格拉斯诺
4%
迈克尔·金
4%
洛根·韦布
3%
布雷克·斯内尔
3%
斯宾塞·斯特莱德
3%
亨特·格林
3%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基
7%
尼克·洛多洛
3%
米奇·凯勒
3%
耶稣·卢扎多
7%
斯宾塞·施韦伦巴赫
1%
保罗·斯肯斯 36%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯 16%
山本由伸 12%
克里斯·塞尔 6.8%
保罗·斯肯斯
36%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯
16%
山本由伸
12%
克里斯·塞尔
7%
扎克·惠勒
6%
大谷翔平
6%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔
5%
尼克·皮韦塔
5%
尤里·佩雷斯
5%
诺兰·麦克林
5%
布兰登·伍德拉夫
5%
泰勒·格拉斯诺
4%
迈克尔·金
4%
洛根·韦布
3%
布雷克·斯内尔
3%
斯宾塞·斯特莱德
3%
亨特·格林
3%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基
7%
尼克·洛多洛
3%
米奇·凯勒
3%
耶稣·卢扎多
7%
斯宾塞·施韦伦巴赫
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes tops trader consensus at 39% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, fueled by his electric 2024 rookie season—1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 innings—and age-23 upside as Pittsburgh's cornerstone ace with triple-digit velocity and pinpoint command. Teammate Mitch Keller (23.7%) gains from Pirates' rotation stability and his reliable 3.91 ERA over 178 frames, while Jesus Luzardo (23.7%) draws bets on injury recovery and Marlins rebuild potential despite a down 2024. Hunter Greene (23.2%) and Michael King (20.8%) reflect breakout velocity (99+ mph fastballs) and workload jumps (200+ innings for King post-trade), with prospect Jacob Misiorowski (20.4%) hyped for Brewers' top-shelf stuff. Recent 2024 award snubs and offseason health reports for veterans like Chris Sale and Yoshinobu Yamamoto temper their shares amid youth-driven momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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