The Los Angeles Dodgers lead trader consensus at 42% implied probability for the 2026 NL Championship, anchored by their intact championship core from the 2024 World Series—including a healthy Shohei Ohtani's two-way dominance, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman—bolstered by elite pitching depth and farm system strength. The New York Mets' surge to 11.5% stems from their blockbuster signing of Juan Soto to a 15-year, $765 million deal, injecting superstar offense into a playoff-tested roster with Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Philadelphia Phillies (10.5%) and Atlanta Braves (8.5%) hold firm on ace rotations led by Zack Wheeler/Zach Eflin and Chris Sale/Spencer Strider's injury recovery, while Chicago Cubs (8.5%) gain from Pete Crow-Armstrong's breakout and front-office aggression. Recent free-agency splashes and arbitration resolutions have widened the gap over longshots like Padres and Brewers, reflecting offseason momentum amid uncertain 2025 campaigns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于洛杉矶道奇队 42%
纽约大都会队 12%
费城费城人队 11%
亚特兰大勇士队 9%
$46,538 交易量
$46,538 交易量
洛杉矶道奇队
42%
纽约大都会队
12%
费城费城人队
11%
亚特兰大勇士队
9%
芝加哥小熊
9%
圣地亚哥教士
5%
密尔沃基酿酒人
4%
匹兹堡海盗队
3%
亚利桑那响尾蛇队
2%
辛辛那提红人队
2%
旧金山巨人队
1%
科罗拉多洛矶队
1%
圣路易斯红雀队
1%
迈阿密马林鱼
1%
华盛顿国民队
<1%
洛杉矶道奇队 42%
纽约大都会队 12%
费城费城人队 11%
亚特兰大勇士队 9%
$46,538 交易量
$46,538 交易量
洛杉矶道奇队
42%
纽约大都会队
12%
费城费城人队
11%
亚特兰大勇士队
9%
芝加哥小熊
9%
圣地亚哥教士
5%
密尔沃基酿酒人
4%
匹兹堡海盗队
3%
亚利桑那响尾蛇队
2%
辛辛那提红人队
2%
旧金山巨人队
1%
科罗拉多洛矶队
1%
圣路易斯红雀队
1%
迈阿密马林鱼
1%
华盛顿国民队
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Los Angeles Dodgers lead trader consensus at 42% implied probability for the 2026 NL Championship, anchored by their intact championship core from the 2024 World Series—including a healthy Shohei Ohtani's two-way dominance, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman—bolstered by elite pitching depth and farm system strength. The New York Mets' surge to 11.5% stems from their blockbuster signing of Juan Soto to a 15-year, $765 million deal, injecting superstar offense into a playoff-tested roster with Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Philadelphia Phillies (10.5%) and Atlanta Braves (8.5%) hold firm on ace rotations led by Zack Wheeler/Zach Eflin and Chris Sale/Spencer Strider's injury recovery, while Chicago Cubs (8.5%) gain from Pete Crow-Armstrong's breakout and front-office aggression. Recent free-agency splashes and arbitration resolutions have widened the gap over longshots like Padres and Brewers, reflecting offseason momentum amid uncertain 2025 campaigns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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