Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability as the two-time defending AL Cy Young winner after dominant 2024-25 campaigns with the Tigers, including a 2.21 ERA last year, but the race remains tightly bunched through the top five amid a deep rotation of proven aces entering 2026 healthy. Garrett Crochet's MLB-leading 255 strikeouts in 2025 with the Red Sox fuel his 17% share, boosted by transition to a hitter-friendly AL East park. Max Fried's eight-year, $218 million Yankees signing shifts the former NL star into contention at 14.4%, while Dylan Cease's strikeout surge and Jacob deGrom's full 30-start 2025 (2.97 ERA) keep pressure on despite deGrom's minor neck stiffness scratching his season debut last week. Early-season workloads and run support will dictate separations in this competitive field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于塔里克·斯库巴尔 27%
加勒特·克罗切特 15%
马克斯·弗里德 12.8%
迪兰·希斯 12.6%
塔里克·斯库巴尔
27%
加勒特·克罗切特
18%
雅各布·德格罗姆
10%
科尔·拉根斯
5%
亨特·布朗
7%
马克斯·弗里德
13%
布莱恩·吴
8%
洛根·吉尔伯特
3%
凯尔·布拉迪什
1%
乔·瑞安
2%
游骑兵·苏亚雷斯
7%
内森·伊瓦尔迪
5%
迪兰·希斯
13%
乔治·柯比
5%
卡洛斯·罗登
4%
凯文·高斯曼
1%
麦肯齐·戈尔
5%
何塞·索里亚诺
4%
Pablo Lopez
2%
加文·威廉姆斯
4%
布莱斯·米勒
4%
卡姆·施利特勒
4%
Gerrit Cole
4%
塔里克·斯库巴尔 27%
加勒特·克罗切特 15%
马克斯·弗里德 12.8%
迪兰·希斯 12.6%
塔里克·斯库巴尔
27%
加勒特·克罗切特
18%
雅各布·德格罗姆
10%
科尔·拉根斯
5%
亨特·布朗
7%
马克斯·弗里德
13%
布莱恩·吴
8%
洛根·吉尔伯特
3%
凯尔·布拉迪什
1%
乔·瑞安
2%
游骑兵·苏亚雷斯
7%
内森·伊瓦尔迪
5%
迪兰·希斯
13%
乔治·柯比
5%
卡洛斯·罗登
4%
凯文·高斯曼
1%
麦肯齐·戈尔
5%
何塞·索里亚诺
4%
Pablo Lopez
2%
加文·威廉姆斯
4%
布莱斯·米勒
4%
卡姆·施利特勒
4%
Gerrit Cole
4%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability as the two-time defending AL Cy Young winner after dominant 2024-25 campaigns with the Tigers, including a 2.21 ERA last year, but the race remains tightly bunched through the top five amid a deep rotation of proven aces entering 2026 healthy. Garrett Crochet's MLB-leading 255 strikeouts in 2025 with the Red Sox fuel his 17% share, boosted by transition to a hitter-friendly AL East park. Max Fried's eight-year, $218 million Yankees signing shifts the former NL star into contention at 14.4%, while Dylan Cease's strikeout surge and Jacob deGrom's full 30-start 2025 (2.97 ERA) keep pressure on despite deGrom's minor neck stiffness scratching his season debut last week. Early-season workloads and run support will dictate separations in this competitive field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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