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马赛市长选举获胜者

Market icon

马赛市长选举获胜者

贝努瓦·帕扬 100.0%

埃尔万·达武 <1%

弗朗克·阿利西奥 <1%

塞巴斯蒂安·德洛古 <1%

Polymarket

$281,124 交易量

贝努瓦·帕扬 100.0%

埃尔万·达武 <1%

弗朗克·阿利西奥 <1%

塞巴斯蒂安·德洛古 <1%

Polymarket

$281,124 交易量

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贝努瓦·帕扬

$208,644 交易量

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埃尔万·达武

$72,481 交易量

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弗朗克·阿利西奥

$0 交易量

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塞巴斯蒂安·德洛古

$0 交易量

Market icon

马蒂娜·瓦萨尔

$0 交易量

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$281,124
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

已提议结果: 是

有争议

已提议结果: 是

有争议

最终结果: 是

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$281,124
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

已提议结果: 是

有争议

已提议结果: 是

有争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"马赛市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"贝努瓦·帕扬",概率为 100%,其次是"埃尔万·达武",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"马赛市长选举获胜者"已产生 $281.1K 的总交易量(自Jan 16, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"马赛市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"马赛市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"贝努瓦·帕扬",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"埃尔万·达武",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"马赛市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。