Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于贝努瓦·帕扬 100.0%
埃尔万·达武 <1%
弗朗克·阿利西奥 <1%
塞巴斯蒂安·德洛古 <1%
$281,124 交易量
$281,124 交易量

贝努瓦·帕扬
是

埃尔万·达武
否

弗朗克·阿利西奥
否

塞巴斯蒂安·德洛古
否

马蒂娜·瓦萨尔
否
贝努瓦·帕扬 100.0%
埃尔万·达武 <1%
弗朗克·阿利西奥 <1%
塞巴斯蒂安·德洛古 <1%
$281,124 交易量
$281,124 交易量

贝努瓦·帕扬
是

埃尔万·达武
否

弗朗克·阿利西奥
否

塞巴斯蒂安·德洛古
否

马蒂娜·瓦萨尔
否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间: Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
有争议
已提议结果: 是
有争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
有争议
已提议结果: 是
有争议
最终结果: 是
Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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