Polymarket traders price a tight race among 50-80 billion dollar IPO raise buckets for SpaceX, with 70-80B leading at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over final sizing following the company's confidential SEC filing this week targeting a record $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent tender offers pegged valuation at $800 billion in December 2025, but surging Starlink revenue—now exceeding 5 million subscribers—and Starship regulatory approvals have fueled optimism for blockbuster demand from a 21-bank syndicate. Competitive dynamics hinge on SpaceX's launch dominance versus rivals like Rocket Lab, with June roadshows and market appetite as key swing factors amid volatile tech IPO sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$83,137 交易量
$83,137 交易量
<40B
5%
40-50B
15%
50-60B
20%
60-70B
18%
70-80B
27%
80-90B
15%
90-100B
5%
100-110B
1%
110-120B
1%
1200亿美元以上
2%
$83,137 交易量
$83,137 交易量
<40B
$8,523 交易量
5%
40-50B
$4,989 交易量
15%
50-60B
$15,414 交易量
20%
60-70B
$7,344 交易量
18%
70-80B
$10,899 交易量
27%
80-90B
$7,398 交易量
15%
90-100B
$7,757 交易量
5%
100-110B
$6,055 交易量
1%
110-120B
$7,658 交易量
1%
1200亿美元以上
$7,100 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders price a tight race among 50-80 billion dollar IPO raise buckets for SpaceX, with 70-80B leading at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over final sizing following the company's confidential SEC filing this week targeting a record $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent tender offers pegged valuation at $800 billion in December 2025, but surging Starlink revenue—now exceeding 5 million subscribers—and Starship regulatory approvals have fueled optimism for blockbuster demand from a 21-bank syndicate. Competitive dynamics hinge on SpaceX's launch dominance versus rivals like Rocket Lab, with June roadshows and market appetite as key swing factors amid volatile tech IPO sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$83,137市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders price a tight race among 50-80 billion dollar IPO raise buckets for SpaceX, with 70-80B leading at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over final sizing following the company's confidential SEC filing this week targeting a record $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent tender offers pegged valuation at $800 billion in December 2025, but surging Starlink revenue—now exceeding 5 million subscribers—and Starship regulatory approvals have fueled optimism for blockbuster demand from a 21-bank syndicate. Competitive dynamics hinge on SpaceX's launch dominance versus rivals like Rocket Lab, with June roadshows and market appetite as key swing factors amid volatile tech IPO sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$83,137市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a tight race among 50-80 billion dollar IPO raise buckets for SpaceX, with 70-80B leading at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over final sizing following the company's confidential SEC filing this week targeting a record $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent tender offers pegged valuation at $800 billion in December 2025, but surging Starlink revenue—now exceeding 5 million subscribers—and Starship regulatory approvals have fueled optimism for blockbuster demand from a 21-bank syndicate. Competitive dynamics hinge on SpaceX's launch dominance versus rivals like Rocket Lab, with June roadshows and market appetite as key swing factors amid volatile tech IPO sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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