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经济·非农就业

3月份增加了多少个工作岗位？

Market icon
经济·非农就业

3月份增加了多少个工作岗位？

Apr 3

Apr 3

5万 – 10万 29%

0 – 5万 22%

10万+ 21%

-5万–0 16%

Polymarket

$10,208 交易量

5万 – 10万 29%

0 – 5万 22%

10万+ 21%

-5万–0 16%

Polymarket

$10,208 交易量

<-15万

$1,327 交易量

10%

-15万 – -10万

$818 交易量

6%

-10万 – -5万

$769 交易量

8%

-5万–0

$898 交易量

16%

0 – 5万

$1,182 交易量

22%

5万 – 10万

$3,944 交易量

29%

10万+

$1,270 交易量

21%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmPolymarket traders are pricing a modest rebound in March nonfarm payrolls around 50,000 jobs, with the 50k–100k bin at 28.5% implied probability leading closely matched outcomes amid February's unexpected -92,000 decline—blamed on severe weather and strikes—against a Bloomberg consensus of 55,000–60,000. Stable labor signals bolster optimism, including initial jobless claims edging to 210,000 for the week ended March 21 and continuing claims hitting 1.819 million, the lowest since May 2024, while ISM services employment expanded to 51.8. However, weak ADP preliminary data averaging just 10,000 private jobs weekly through early March introduces downside risk, tightening the race between low-growth bins. The April 4 release looms as the key catalyst, with swing factors like final JOLTS openings potentially tipping sentiment.

Polymarket traders are pricing a modest rebound in March nonfarm payrolls around 50,000 jobs, with the 50k–100k bin at 28.5% implied probability leading closely matched outcomes amid February's unexpected -92,000 decline—blamed on severe weather and strikes—against a Bloomberg consensus of 55,000–60,000. Stable labor signals bolster optimism, including initial jobless claims edging to 210,000 for the week ended March 21 and continuing claims hitting 1.819 million, the lowest since May 2024, while ISM services employment expanded to 51.8. However, weak ADP preliminary data averaging just 10,000 private jobs weekly through early March introduces downside risk, tightening the race between low-growth bins. The April 4 release looms as the key catalyst, with swing factors like final JOLTS openings potentially tipping sentiment.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmPolymarket traders are pricing a modest rebound in March nonfarm payrolls around 50,000 jobs, with the 50k–100k bin at 28.5% implied probability leading closely matched outcomes amid February's unexpected -92,000 decline—blamed on severe weather and strikes—against a Bloomberg consensus of 55,000–60,000. Stable labor signals bolster optimism, including initial jobless claims edging to 210,000 for the week ended March 21 and continuing claims hitting 1.819 million, the lowest since May 2024, while ISM services employment expanded to 51.8. However, weak ADP preliminary data averaging just 10,000 private jobs weekly through early March introduces downside risk, tightening the race between low-growth bins. The April 4 release looms as the key catalyst, with swing factors like final JOLTS openings potentially tipping sentiment.

Polymarket traders are pricing a modest rebound in March nonfarm payrolls around 50,000 jobs, with the 50k–100k bin at 28.5% implied probability leading closely matched outcomes amid February's unexpected -92,000 decline—blamed on severe weather and strikes—against a Bloomberg consensus of 55,000–60,000. Stable labor signals bolster optimism, including initial jobless claims edging to 210,000 for the week ended March 21 and continuing claims hitting 1.819 million, the lowest since May 2024, while ISM services employment expanded to 51.8. However, weak ADP preliminary data averaging just 10,000 private jobs weekly through early March introduces downside risk, tightening the race between low-growth bins. The April 4 release looms as the key catalyst, with swing factors like final JOLTS openings potentially tipping sentiment.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"3月份增加了多少个工作岗位？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"5万 – 10万"，概率为 28%，其次是"0 – 5万"，概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 28¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 28%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"3月份增加了多少个工作岗位？"已产生 $10.2K 的总交易量（自Mar 11, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"3月份增加了多少个工作岗位？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"3月份增加了多少个工作岗位？"的当前领先者是"5万 – 10万"，概率为 28%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 28%。紧随其后的结果是"0 – 5万"，概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"3月份增加了多少个工作岗位？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。