MetService's latest forecast for Wellington positions the April 2 high temperature at 19°C under fine conditions with developing northerlies, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at the top implied probability, while 20°C reflects potential warming from northerly flow and 18°C accounts for model variability. This aligns with NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-normal autumn temperatures amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions, against historical April averages of 16–17°C highs that trend slightly warmer early in the month. Recent observational data shows stable highs around 17°C, with a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and limited cloud interference. Forecast uncertainty remains within 2–3°C due to evolving wind patterns; watch for afternoon model updates from MetService.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
19°C 45%
20°C 32%
18°C 14%
21°C or higher 11%
$51,501 交易量
$51,501 交易量
2026-04-02
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
14%
19°C
45%
20°C
32%
21°C or higher
11%
19°C 45%
20°C 32%
18°C 14%
21°C or higher 11%
$51,501 交易量
$51,501 交易量
2026-04-02
11°C or below
$14,235 交易量
<1%
12°C
$11,668 交易量
<1%
13°C
$6,395 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,224 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,129 交易量
1%
16°C
$4,249 交易量
1%
17°C
$4,597 交易量
4%
18°C
$2,599 交易量
14%
19°C
$1,271 交易量
45%
20°C
$2,269 交易量
32%
21°C or higher
$2,040 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington positions the April 2 high temperature at 19°C under fine conditions with developing northerlies, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at the top implied probability, while 20°C reflects potential warming from northerly flow and 18°C accounts for model variability. This aligns with NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-normal autumn temperatures amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions, against historical April averages of 16–17°C highs that trend slightly warmer early in the month. Recent observational data shows stable highs around 17°C, with a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and limited cloud interference. Forecast uncertainty remains within 2–3°C due to evolving wind patterns; watch for afternoon model updates from MetService.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$51,501结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington positions the April 2 high temperature at 19°C under fine conditions with developing northerlies, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at the top implied probability, while 20°C reflects potential warming from northerly flow and 18°C accounts for model variability. This aligns with NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-normal autumn temperatures amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions, against historical April averages of 16–17°C highs that trend slightly warmer early in the month. Recent observational data shows stable highs around 17°C, with a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and limited cloud interference. Forecast uncertainty remains within 2–3°C due to evolving wind patterns; watch for afternoon model updates from MetService.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$51,501结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETMetService's latest forecast for Wellington positions the April 2 high temperature at 19°C under fine conditions with developing northerlies, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at the top implied probability, while 20°C reflects potential warming from northerly flow and 18°C accounts for model variability. This aligns with NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-normal autumn temperatures amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions, against historical April averages of 16–17°C highs that trend slightly warmer early in the month. Recent observational data shows stable highs around 17°C, with a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and limited cloud interference. Forecast uncertainty remains within 2–3°C due to evolving wind patterns; watch for afternoon model updates from MetService.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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