Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Wellington's highest temperature on April 17, driven by MetService observational data from the official Kelburn station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked precisely at 18°C amid northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with forecast model consensus from MetService and international sources, which anticipated mild autumn conditions capping highs under strengthening breezes and a chance of afternoon showers, consistent with Wellington's historical April average maximum of around 17°C. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day foehn warming burst before sunset, but evening cooling to 14–15°C and low solar angle make exceedance highly unlikely as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日惠灵顿的最高温度？
4月17日惠灵顿的最高温度？
18°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$204,881 交易量
$204,881 交易量
2026-04-17
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$204,881 交易量
$204,881 交易量
2026-04-17
11°C或以下
$6,878 交易量
否
12°C
$11,461 交易量
否
13°C
$5,587 交易量
否
14°C
$7,578 交易量
否
15°C
$4,864 交易量
否
16°C
$23,737 交易量
否
17°C
$68,654 交易量
否
18°C
$22,668 交易量
是
19°C
$20,497 交易量
否
20°C
$21,901 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$11,056 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Wellington's highest temperature on April 17, driven by MetService observational data from the official Kelburn station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked precisely at 18°C amid northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with forecast model consensus from MetService and international sources, which anticipated mild autumn conditions capping highs under strengthening breezes and a chance of afternoon showers, consistent with Wellington's historical April average maximum of around 17°C. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day foehn warming burst before sunset, but evening cooling to 14–15°C and low solar angle make exceedance highly unlikely as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$204,881结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Wellington's highest temperature on April 17, driven by MetService observational data from the official Kelburn station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked precisely at 18°C amid northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with forecast model consensus from MetService and international sources, which anticipated mild autumn conditions capping highs under strengthening breezes and a chance of afternoon showers, consistent with Wellington's historical April average maximum of around 17°C. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day foehn warming burst before sunset, but evening cooling to 14–15°C and low solar angle make exceedance highly unlikely as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$204,881结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Wellington's highest temperature on April 17, driven by MetService observational data from the official Kelburn station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked precisely at 18°C amid northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with forecast model consensus from MetService and international sources, which anticipated mild autumn conditions capping highs under strengthening breezes and a chance of afternoon showers, consistent with Wellington's historical April average maximum of around 17°C. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day foehn warming burst before sunset, but evening cooling to 14–15°C and low solar angle make exceedance highly unlikely as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题