MetService hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's official station, recorded a peak temperature of 18°C in the early afternoon of April 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the day progressed into evening cooling. This aligns with NIWA seasonal outlooks for near-average autumn temperatures around 17°C and recent forecast model runs centering highs at 17-18°C amid stable high-pressure influence. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from unexpected clear-sky radiational warming or measurement revision, though current METAR reports showing declining temps below 17°C post-peak render higher outcomes unlikely ahead of final daily verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
4月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
18°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$180,540 交易量
$180,540 交易量
2026-04-15
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15℃
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$180,540 交易量
$180,540 交易量
2026-04-15
10°C或以下
$9,830 交易量
否
11°C
$1,467 交易量
否
12°C
$15,827 交易量
否
13°C
$8,141 交易量
否
14°C
$3,762 交易量
否
15℃
$5,847 交易量
否
16°C
$17,071 交易量
否
17°C
$50,040 交易量
否
18°C
$19,153 交易量
是
19°C
$32,903 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$16,500 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's official station, recorded a peak temperature of 18°C in the early afternoon of April 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the day progressed into evening cooling. This aligns with NIWA seasonal outlooks for near-average autumn temperatures around 17°C and recent forecast model runs centering highs at 17-18°C amid stable high-pressure influence. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from unexpected clear-sky radiational warming or measurement revision, though current METAR reports showing declining temps below 17°C post-peak render higher outcomes unlikely ahead of final daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$180,540结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's official station, recorded a peak temperature of 18°C in the early afternoon of April 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the day progressed into evening cooling. This aligns with NIWA seasonal outlooks for near-average autumn temperatures around 17°C and recent forecast model runs centering highs at 17-18°C amid stable high-pressure influence. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from unexpected clear-sky radiational warming or measurement revision, though current METAR reports showing declining temps below 17°C post-peak render higher outcomes unlikely ahead of final daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$180,540结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
MetService hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's official station, recorded a peak temperature of 18°C in the early afternoon of April 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the day progressed into evening cooling. This aligns with NIWA seasonal outlooks for near-average autumn temperatures around 17°C and recent forecast model runs centering highs at 17-18°C amid stable high-pressure influence. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from unexpected clear-sky radiational warming or measurement revision, though current METAR reports showing declining temps below 17°C post-peak render higher outcomes unlikely ahead of final daily verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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