Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 14°C as Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, 2026, backed by official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport station, where the peak reading hit 14°C amid northerly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with IMGW synoptic forecasts predicting 13°C locally, influenced by a cool air mass over central Europe and typical early-April climatology, with historical highs averaging 12–14°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and 10–15 km/h gusts. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post-hoc data audit revealing an overlooked higher reading could shift it, though multi-station verification confirms the measurement. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$71,084 交易量
$71,084 交易量
2026-04-17
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$71,084 交易量
$71,084 交易量
2026-04-17
7°C or below
$1,001 交易量
No
8°C
$1,438 交易量
No
9°C
$3,349 交易量
No
10°C
$7,306 交易量
No
11°C
$2,269 交易量
No
12°C
$4,525 交易量
No
13°C
$10,424 交易量
No
14°C
$11,419 交易量
Yes
15°C
$11,362 交易量
No
16°C
$10,403 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$7,587 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 14°C as Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, 2026, backed by official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport station, where the peak reading hit 14°C amid northerly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with IMGW synoptic forecasts predicting 13°C locally, influenced by a cool air mass over central Europe and typical early-April climatology, with historical highs averaging 12–14°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and 10–15 km/h gusts. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post-hoc data audit revealing an overlooked higher reading could shift it, though multi-station verification confirms the measurement. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
交易量
$71,084结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 14°C as Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, 2026, backed by official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport station, where the peak reading hit 14°C amid northerly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with IMGW synoptic forecasts predicting 13°C locally, influenced by a cool air mass over central Europe and typical early-April climatology, with historical highs averaging 12–14°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and 10–15 km/h gusts. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post-hoc data audit revealing an overlooked higher reading could shift it, though multi-station verification confirms the measurement. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$71,084结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 14°C as Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, 2026, backed by official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport station, where the peak reading hit 14°C amid northerly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with IMGW synoptic forecasts predicting 13°C locally, influenced by a cool air mass over central Europe and typical early-April climatology, with historical highs averaging 12–14°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and 10–15 km/h gusts. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post-hoc data audit revealing an overlooked higher reading could shift it, though multi-station verification confirms the measurement. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题