Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C (59°F) on April 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "15°C or higher." This aligns with IMGW reports of current afternoon readings near 14°C earlier building to this peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with recent ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting mid-teens Celsius amid a mild spring pattern influenced by high-pressure ridging over Central Europe. April climatology shows Warsaw averages 12–13°C highs, making this outcome slightly above baseline without extremes. Challenges would require verified data revisions from station audits, though such discrepancies are rare post-validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 12?
15°C or higher 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$63,432 交易量
$63,432 交易量
2026-04-12
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
Yes
15°C or higher 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$63,432 交易量
$63,432 交易量
2026-04-12
5°C or below
$1,702 交易量
No
6°C
$1,547 交易量
No
7°C
$1,507 交易量
No
8°C
$2,015 交易量
No
9°C
$2,073 交易量
No
10°C
$5,009 交易量
No
11°C
$7,464 交易量
No
12°C
$12,597 交易量
No
13°C
$7,667 交易量
No
14°C
$9,666 交易量
No
15°C or higher
$12,184 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C (59°F) on April 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "15°C or higher." This aligns with IMGW reports of current afternoon readings near 14°C earlier building to this peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with recent ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting mid-teens Celsius amid a mild spring pattern influenced by high-pressure ridging over Central Europe. April climatology shows Warsaw averages 12–13°C highs, making this outcome slightly above baseline without extremes. Challenges would require verified data revisions from station audits, though such discrepancies are rare post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$63,432结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C (59°F) on April 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "15°C or higher." This aligns with IMGW reports of current afternoon readings near 14°C earlier building to this peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with recent ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting mid-teens Celsius amid a mild spring pattern influenced by high-pressure ridging over Central Europe. April climatology shows Warsaw averages 12–13°C highs, making this outcome slightly above baseline without extremes. Challenges would require verified data revisions from station audits, though such discrepancies are rare post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$63,432结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C (59°F) on April 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "15°C or higher." This aligns with IMGW reports of current afternoon readings near 14°C earlier building to this peak under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with recent ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting mid-teens Celsius amid a mild spring pattern influenced by high-pressure ridging over Central Europe. April climatology shows Warsaw averages 12–13°C highs, making this outcome slightly above baseline without extremes. Challenges would require verified data revisions from station audits, though such discrepancies are rare post-validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题