Official observations from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station (EPWA), the standard reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on April 11, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cool northerly winds and extensive cloud cover limited solar heating throughout the day, consistent with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) synoptic reports and ECMWF model runs forecasting highs of 11–13°C amid a transitional spring pattern. April climatological averages near 13°C provide context for this mild variability, with no significant deviations noted. Rare post hoc data revisions from quality checks represent the only realistic challenge, though initial airport telemetry is highly reliable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 11?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$83,938 交易量
$83,938 交易量
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$83,938 交易量
$83,938 交易量
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station (EPWA), the standard reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on April 11, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cool northerly winds and extensive cloud cover limited solar heating throughout the day, consistent with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) synoptic reports and ECMWF model runs forecasting highs of 11–13°C amid a transitional spring pattern. April climatological averages near 13°C provide context for this mild variability, with no significant deviations noted. Rare post hoc data revisions from quality checks represent the only realistic challenge, though initial airport telemetry is highly reliable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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