Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C or higher at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 15, 2026, driven by Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of a sharp heatwave onset with southerly winds advecting hot desert air masses amid mostly sunny skies and light breezes. Observations confirm rapid intensification—21°C on April 13 rising to 27°C on April 14—aligning with model ensembles projecting peaks above seasonal norms of 23–24°C, further adjusted for documented 1°C cold bias in short-range maximum temperature guidance. Current midday readings near 26°C support this trajectory, with heat stress warnings issued for inland valleys. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer intrusion or strengthened sea breeze capping advection, though synoptic patterns favor sustained highs; monitor hourly NOAA data at LLBG for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$127,873 交易量
$127,873 交易量
2026-04-15
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
Yes
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$127,873 交易量
$127,873 交易量
2026-04-15
25°C or below
$13,246 交易量
No
26°C
$2,029 交易量
No
27°C
$4,221 交易量
No
28°C
$5,321 交易量
No
29°C
$4,475 交易量
No
30°C
$6,364 交易量
No
31°C
$10,509 交易量
No
32°C
$12,554 交易量
No
33°C
$19,916 交易量
No
34°C
$15,947 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$33,291 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C or higher at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 15, 2026, driven by Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of a sharp heatwave onset with southerly winds advecting hot desert air masses amid mostly sunny skies and light breezes. Observations confirm rapid intensification—21°C on April 13 rising to 27°C on April 14—aligning with model ensembles projecting peaks above seasonal norms of 23–24°C, further adjusted for documented 1°C cold bias in short-range maximum temperature guidance. Current midday readings near 26°C support this trajectory, with heat stress warnings issued for inland valleys. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer intrusion or strengthened sea breeze capping advection, though synoptic patterns favor sustained highs; monitor hourly NOAA data at LLBG for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$127,873结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C or higher at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 15, 2026, driven by Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of a sharp heatwave onset with southerly winds advecting hot desert air masses amid mostly sunny skies and light breezes. Observations confirm rapid intensification—21°C on April 13 rising to 27°C on April 14—aligning with model ensembles projecting peaks above seasonal norms of 23–24°C, further adjusted for documented 1°C cold bias in short-range maximum temperature guidance. Current midday readings near 26°C support this trajectory, with heat stress warnings issued for inland valleys. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer intrusion or strengthened sea breeze capping advection, though synoptic patterns favor sustained highs; monitor hourly NOAA data at LLBG for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$127,873结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C or higher at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 15, 2026, driven by Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of a sharp heatwave onset with southerly winds advecting hot desert air masses amid mostly sunny skies and light breezes. Observations confirm rapid intensification—21°C on April 13 rising to 27°C on April 14—aligning with model ensembles projecting peaks above seasonal norms of 23–24°C, further adjusted for documented 1°C cold bias in short-range maximum temperature guidance. Current midday readings near 26°C support this trajectory, with heat stress warnings issued for inland valleys. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer intrusion or strengthened sea breeze capping advection, though synoptic patterns favor sustained highs; monitor hourly NOAA data at LLBG for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题