Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 13 reached 22°C at a coastal monitoring station, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid real-money positioning. This matched pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles run April 12, which forecasted a daytime high of 21-24°C under a stable high-pressure ridge, light northerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that suppressed convective heating. Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 22°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this—such as a late data revision from auxiliary stations or measurement discrepancies—remain improbable given synchronized reports from multiple sources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$71,344 交易量
$71,344 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$71,344 交易量
$71,344 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 13 reached 22°C at a coastal monitoring station, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid real-money positioning. This matched pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles run April 12, which forecasted a daytime high of 21-24°C under a stable high-pressure ridge, light northerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that suppressed convective heating. Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 22°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this—such as a late data revision from auxiliary stations or measurement discrepancies—remain improbable given synchronized reports from multiple sources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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