Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$118,857 交易量
$118,857 交易量
2026-04-17
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$118,857 交易量
$118,857 交易量
2026-04-17
22°C or below
$1,442 交易量
No
23°C
$2,364 交易量
No
24°C
$4,067 交易量
No
25°C
$4,328 交易量
No
26°C
$11,591 交易量
No
27°C
$18,906 交易量
No
28°C
$33,581 交易量
No
29°C
$16,944 交易量
Yes
30°C
$6,984 交易量
No
31°C
$10,606 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$8,042 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
交易量
$118,857结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$118,857结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题