Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 21°C or higher in Seoul today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks of 24–27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm southerly flow. Current observations at 9 AM local time show 18°C with hazy sunshine and rising temperatures, consistent with spring climatology where mid-April highs average 18–20°C but often exceed 21°C during sunny conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or dense cloud cover stalling diurnal heating, though low-probability scenarios given model agreement; monitor KMA hourly updates through late afternoon for final confirmation against official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$737,773 交易量
$737,773 交易量
2026-04-15
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$737,773 交易量
$737,773 交易量
2026-04-15
11°C or below
$27,508 交易量
No
12°C
$10,831 交易量
No
13°C
$11,649 交易量
No
14°C
$15,811 交易量
No
15°C
$25,209 交易量
No
16°C
$37,306 交易量
No
17°C
$44,751 交易量
No
18°C
$81,298 交易量
No
19°C
$84,716 交易量
No
20°C
$155,458 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$243,236 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 21°C or higher in Seoul today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks of 24–27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm southerly flow. Current observations at 9 AM local time show 18°C with hazy sunshine and rising temperatures, consistent with spring climatology where mid-April highs average 18–20°C but often exceed 21°C during sunny conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or dense cloud cover stalling diurnal heating, though low-probability scenarios given model agreement; monitor KMA hourly updates through late afternoon for final confirmation against official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$737,773结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 21°C or higher in Seoul today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks of 24–27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm southerly flow. Current observations at 9 AM local time show 18°C with hazy sunshine and rising temperatures, consistent with spring climatology where mid-April highs average 18–20°C but often exceed 21°C during sunny conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or dense cloud cover stalling diurnal heating, though low-probability scenarios given model agreement; monitor KMA hourly updates through late afternoon for final confirmation against official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$737,773结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 21°C or higher in Seoul today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks of 24–27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm southerly flow. Current observations at 9 AM local time show 18°C with hazy sunshine and rising temperatures, consistent with spring climatology where mid-April highs average 18–20°C but often exceed 21°C during sunny conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or dense cloud cover stalling diurnal heating, though low-probability scenarios given model agreement; monitor KMA hourly updates through late afternoon for final confirmation against official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题