Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 50-51°F in Seattle on March 30, anchored by official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the authoritative station for city records. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow, following an early-month heat wave, capped daytime heating under mostly overcast skies, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting highs near 51°F. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data revisions from sensor anomalies in the final NWS climatological summary, though preliminary reports show no discrepancies; traders await monthly validation for full resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月30日西雅图最高气温？
3月30日西雅图最高气温？
50-51华氏度 100.0%
41°F或以下 <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$115,550 交易量
$115,550 交易量
2026-03-30
41°F或以下
否
42-43°F
否
44-45°F
否
46-47°F
否
48-49°F
否
50-51华氏度
是
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60°F或更高
否
50-51华氏度 100.0%
41°F或以下 <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$115,550 交易量
$115,550 交易量
2026-03-30
41°F或以下
$4,818 交易量
否
42-43°F
$11,051 交易量
否
44-45°F
$9,738 交易量
否
46-47°F
$12,723 交易量
否
48-49°F
$18,738 交易量
否
50-51华氏度
$19,737 交易量
是
52-53°F
$13,755 交易量
否
54-55°F
$10,456 交易量
否
56-57°F
$4,422 交易量
否
58-59°F
$6,979 交易量
否
60°F或更高
$3,131 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 50-51°F in Seattle on March 30, anchored by official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the authoritative station for city records. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow, following an early-month heat wave, capped daytime heating under mostly overcast skies, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting highs near 51°F. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data revisions from sensor anomalies in the final NWS climatological summary, though preliminary reports show no discrepancies; traders await monthly validation for full resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
交易量
$115,550结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 50-51°F in Seattle on March 30, anchored by official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the authoritative station for city records. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow, following an early-month heat wave, capped daytime heating under mostly overcast skies, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting highs near 51°F. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data revisions from sensor anomalies in the final NWS climatological summary, though preliminary reports show no discrepancies; traders await monthly validation for full resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$115,550结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 50-51°F in Seattle on March 30, anchored by official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the authoritative station for city records. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow, following an early-month heat wave, capped daytime heating under mostly overcast skies, aligning with NOAA forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs predicting highs near 51°F. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data revisions from sensor anomalies in the final NWS climatological summary, though preliminary reports show no discrepancies; traders await monthly validation for full resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题