Official INMET observations from São Paulo's Congonhas Airport (SBSP) station confirm the highest temperature on April 10 reached 21°C, amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds that limited solar heating despite typical autumn highs of 24–26°C. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles showing a cooling trend from an incoming moisture system, shifting trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as real-time data accumulated through the afternoon. Polymarket's 100% implied probability reflects aggregated bettor alignment with verified measurements, acknowledging the precision of surface station records. Realistic challenges include a rare post-validation revision if peripheral sensors like Guarulhos Airport log a higher compliant reading before INMET's final bulletin, though model post-analysis and historical data validation support the current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 10?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 10?
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$93,542 交易量
$93,542 交易量
2026-04-10
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$93,542 交易量
$93,542 交易量
2026-04-10
19°C or below
$4,420 交易量
No
20°C
$14,266 交易量
No
21°C
$22,906 交易量
Yes
22°C
$7,185 交易量
No
23°C
$8,764 交易量
No
24°C
$8,062 交易量
No
25°C
$4,936 交易量
No
26°C
$4,354 交易量
No
27°C
$5,077 交易量
No
28°C
$4,630 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$8,943 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official INMET observations from São Paulo's Congonhas Airport (SBSP) station confirm the highest temperature on April 10 reached 21°C, amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds that limited solar heating despite typical autumn highs of 24–26°C. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles showing a cooling trend from an incoming moisture system, shifting trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as real-time data accumulated through the afternoon. Polymarket's 100% implied probability reflects aggregated bettor alignment with verified measurements, acknowledging the precision of surface station records. Realistic challenges include a rare post-validation revision if peripheral sensors like Guarulhos Airport log a higher compliant reading before INMET's final bulletin, though model post-analysis and historical data validation support the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$93,542结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official INMET observations from São Paulo's Congonhas Airport (SBSP) station confirm the highest temperature on April 10 reached 21°C, amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds that limited solar heating despite typical autumn highs of 24–26°C. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles showing a cooling trend from an incoming moisture system, shifting trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as real-time data accumulated through the afternoon. Polymarket's 100% implied probability reflects aggregated bettor alignment with verified measurements, acknowledging the precision of surface station records. Realistic challenges include a rare post-validation revision if peripheral sensors like Guarulhos Airport log a higher compliant reading before INMET's final bulletin, though model post-analysis and historical data validation support the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$93,542结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official INMET observations from São Paulo's Congonhas Airport (SBSP) station confirm the highest temperature on April 10 reached 21°C, amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds that limited solar heating despite typical autumn highs of 24–26°C. This aligns with pre-event forecast ensembles showing a cooling trend from an incoming moisture system, shifting trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as real-time data accumulated through the afternoon. Polymarket's 100% implied probability reflects aggregated bettor alignment with verified measurements, acknowledging the precision of surface station records. Realistic challenges include a rare post-validation revision if peripheral sensors like Guarulhos Airport log a higher compliant reading before INMET's final bulletin, though model post-analysis and historical data validation support the current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题