Official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), archived via Wunderground—the market's resolution source—record the highest temperature on April 12, 2026, at 59°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 58-59°F outcome. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, light rain totaling 1.04 inches, and isolated thunderstorms curtailed solar insolation and diurnal heating, consistent with typical mid-April marine layer persistence under neutral Pacific sea surface temperature patterns and climatological norms averaging 63°F highs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions to ASOS data or archival discrepancies, though such events are exceedingly uncommon for resolved daily maxima. Traders await final market resolution confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
58-59°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$57,891 交易量
$57,891 交易量
2026-04-12
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$57,891 交易量
$57,891 交易量
2026-04-12
47°F or below
$1,726 交易量
No
48-49°F
$2,485 交易量
No
50-51°F
$1,043 交易量
No
52-53°F
$6,947 交易量
No
54-55°F
$5,901 交易量
No
56-57°F
$9,607 交易量
No
58-59°F
$8,247 交易量
Yes
60-61°F
$6,682 交易量
No
62-63°F
$6,825 交易量
No
64-65°F
$4,943 交易量
No
66°F or higher
$3,484 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), archived via Wunderground—the market's resolution source—record the highest temperature on April 12, 2026, at 59°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 58-59°F outcome. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, light rain totaling 1.04 inches, and isolated thunderstorms curtailed solar insolation and diurnal heating, consistent with typical mid-April marine layer persistence under neutral Pacific sea surface temperature patterns and climatological norms averaging 63°F highs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions to ASOS data or archival discrepancies, though such events are exceedingly uncommon for resolved daily maxima. Traders await final market resolution confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$57,891结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), archived via Wunderground—the market's resolution source—record the highest temperature on April 12, 2026, at 59°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 58-59°F outcome. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, light rain totaling 1.04 inches, and isolated thunderstorms curtailed solar insolation and diurnal heating, consistent with typical mid-April marine layer persistence under neutral Pacific sea surface temperature patterns and climatological norms averaging 63°F highs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions to ASOS data or archival discrepancies, though such events are exceedingly uncommon for resolved daily maxima. Traders await final market resolution confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$57,891结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), archived via Wunderground—the market's resolution source—record the highest temperature on April 12, 2026, at 59°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 58-59°F outcome. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, light rain totaling 1.04 inches, and isolated thunderstorms curtailed solar insolation and diurnal heating, consistent with typical mid-April marine layer persistence under neutral Pacific sea surface temperature patterns and climatological norms averaging 63°F highs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions to ASOS data or archival discrepancies, though such events are exceedingly uncommon for resolved daily maxima. Traders await final market resolution confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题