Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on April 9 at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, driven by consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. April climatology reinforces this, with daily highs averaging 32°C and rarely dipping below 29°C due to Panama's equatorial position minimizing diurnal cooling. Current morning observations align with sunny conditions favoring rapid daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breeze suppressing peaks below 29°C, though model agreement yields low risk; monitor airport METAR updates through 4 p.m. local time for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月9日巴拿马城气温最高？
4月9日巴拿马城气温最高？
29°C或更高 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$23,778 交易量
$23,778 交易量
2026-04-09
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
是
29°C或更高 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$23,778 交易量
$23,778 交易量
2026-04-09
19°C或以下
$1,735 交易量
否
20°C
$1,360 交易量
否
21°C
$1,910 交易量
否
22°C
$1,672 交易量
否
23°C
$1,274 交易量
否
24°C
$1,185 交易量
否
25°C
$2,256 交易量
否
26°C
$1,438 交易量
否
27°C
$3,079 交易量
否
28°C
$1,492 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$6,375 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on April 9 at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, driven by consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. April climatology reinforces this, with daily highs averaging 32°C and rarely dipping below 29°C due to Panama's equatorial position minimizing diurnal cooling. Current morning observations align with sunny conditions favoring rapid daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breeze suppressing peaks below 29°C, though model agreement yields low risk; monitor airport METAR updates through 4 p.m. local time for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 5, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$23,778结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Apr 5, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on April 9 at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, driven by consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. April climatology reinforces this, with daily highs averaging 32°C and rarely dipping below 29°C due to Panama's equatorial position minimizing diurnal cooling. Current morning observations align with sunny conditions favoring rapid daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breeze suppressing peaks below 29°C, though model agreement yields low risk; monitor airport METAR updates through 4 p.m. local time for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,778结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Apr 5, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on April 9 at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, driven by consensus across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. April climatology reinforces this, with daily highs averaging 32°C and rarely dipping below 29°C due to Panama's equatorial position minimizing diurnal cooling. Current morning observations align with sunny conditions favoring rapid daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or enhanced sea breeze suppressing peaks below 29°C, though model agreement yields low risk; monitor airport METAR updates through 4 p.m. local time for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题