Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 17, driven by official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's designated resolution source, which recorded a peak of 33°C under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with April climatology in Panama City, Panama, where tropical conditions and Pacific influences typically yield highs of 31–33°C, supported by consistent hourly METAR reports showing steady daytime heating without convective interference. While airport automated surface observing systems (ASOS) provide high-confidence data, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C. Final National Meteorological Service validation expected within 24–48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日巴拿马城气温最高?
4月17日巴拿马城气温最高?
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,327 交易量
$27,327 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,327 交易量
$27,327 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 17, driven by official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's designated resolution source, which recorded a peak of 33°C under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with April climatology in Panama City, Panama, where tropical conditions and Pacific influences typically yield highs of 31–33°C, supported by consistent hourly METAR reports showing steady daytime heating without convective interference. While airport automated surface observing systems (ASOS) provide high-confidence data, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C. Final National Meteorological Service validation expected within 24–48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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