Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 10, driven by midday observations at the resolving station—Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPDG)—already exceeding 32°C under clear skies and intense solar insolation characteristic of Panama's late dry season. Forecast models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local ETESA guidance, project daily peaks of 33–34°C (91–93°F) with low cloud cover and light northerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Historical April averages at MPDG hover around 32.2°C, reinforcing this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers suppressing the peak below 32°C, though current stability and low precipitation odds (under 30%) make this improbable; final airport data expected by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on April 10?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 10?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,427 交易量
$17,427 交易量
2026-04-10
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,427 交易量
$17,427 交易量
2026-04-10
22°C or below
$1,415 交易量
No
23°C
$1,199 交易量
No
24°C
$1,131 交易量
No
25°C
$1,108 交易量
No
26°C
$1,514 交易量
No
27°C
$1,131 交易量
No
28°C
$1,735 交易量
No
29°C
$1,577 交易量
No
30°C
$1,798 交易量
No
31°C
$2,447 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$2,373 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 10, driven by midday observations at the resolving station—Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPDG)—already exceeding 32°C under clear skies and intense solar insolation characteristic of Panama's late dry season. Forecast models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local ETESA guidance, project daily peaks of 33–34°C (91–93°F) with low cloud cover and light northerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Historical April averages at MPDG hover around 32.2°C, reinforcing this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers suppressing the peak below 32°C, though current stability and low precipitation odds (under 30%) make this improbable; final airport data expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$17,427结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 10, driven by midday observations at the resolving station—Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPDG)—already exceeding 32°C under clear skies and intense solar insolation characteristic of Panama's late dry season. Forecast models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local ETESA guidance, project daily peaks of 33–34°C (91–93°F) with low cloud cover and light northerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Historical April averages at MPDG hover around 32.2°C, reinforcing this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers suppressing the peak below 32°C, though current stability and low precipitation odds (under 30%) make this improbable; final airport data expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,427结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 10, driven by midday observations at the resolving station—Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPDG)—already exceeding 32°C under clear skies and intense solar insolation characteristic of Panama's late dry season. Forecast models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local ETESA guidance, project daily peaks of 33–34°C (91–93°F) with low cloud cover and light northerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Historical April averages at MPDG hover around 32.2°C, reinforcing this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers suppressing the peak below 32°C, though current stability and low precipitation odds (under 30%) make this improbable; final airport data expected by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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