Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, 2026, driven by authoritative forecasts from sources like Gismeteo, AccuWeather, and Yandex Weather projecting daytime highs of 11–13°C under overcast to partly cloudy conditions at Vnukovo International Airport, the NOAA reporting station for market resolution. Current midday observations already approaching 11°C amid mild easterly winds and typical mid-April diurnal heating patterns, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS analogs showing minimal cooling risk. This aligns with climatological norms, where Moscow's April highs average 10–12°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold air intrusion or persistent low cloud deck—remain improbable given stable upper-air patterns, with final hourly data expected by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
11°C or higher 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$52,590 交易量
$52,590 交易量
2026-04-13
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
Yes
11°C or higher 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$52,590 交易量
$52,590 交易量
2026-04-13
1°C or below
$2,577 交易量
No
2°C
$1,874 交易量
No
3°C
$1,698 交易量
No
4°C
$2,594 交易量
No
5°C
$1,312 交易量
No
6°C
$1,158 交易量
No
7°C
$1,868 交易量
No
8°C
$4,615 交易量
No
9°C
$4,823 交易量
No
10°C
$7,736 交易量
No
11°C or higher
$22,335 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, 2026, driven by authoritative forecasts from sources like Gismeteo, AccuWeather, and Yandex Weather projecting daytime highs of 11–13°C under overcast to partly cloudy conditions at Vnukovo International Airport, the NOAA reporting station for market resolution. Current midday observations already approaching 11°C amid mild easterly winds and typical mid-April diurnal heating patterns, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS analogs showing minimal cooling risk. This aligns with climatological norms, where Moscow's April highs average 10–12°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold air intrusion or persistent low cloud deck—remain improbable given stable upper-air patterns, with final hourly data expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$52,590结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, 2026, driven by authoritative forecasts from sources like Gismeteo, AccuWeather, and Yandex Weather projecting daytime highs of 11–13°C under overcast to partly cloudy conditions at Vnukovo International Airport, the NOAA reporting station for market resolution. Current midday observations already approaching 11°C amid mild easterly winds and typical mid-April diurnal heating patterns, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS analogs showing minimal cooling risk. This aligns with climatological norms, where Moscow's April highs average 10–12°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold air intrusion or persistent low cloud deck—remain improbable given stable upper-air patterns, with final hourly data expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$52,590结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, 2026, driven by authoritative forecasts from sources like Gismeteo, AccuWeather, and Yandex Weather projecting daytime highs of 11–13°C under overcast to partly cloudy conditions at Vnukovo International Airport, the NOAA reporting station for market resolution. Current midday observations already approaching 11°C amid mild easterly winds and typical mid-April diurnal heating patterns, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS analogs showing minimal cooling risk. This aligns with climatological norms, where Moscow's April highs average 10–12°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold air intrusion or persistent low cloud deck—remain improbable given stable upper-air patterns, with final hourly data expected by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题