Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on April 16 reached 18°C at Heathrow, the standard reference station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with post-heatwave stabilization after early April's record 26.6°C in Kew Gardens, as cooler westerly airflow and scattered showers capped intensities per forecast models like the UKV and global ECMWF ensembles. Changeable conditions featured partial cloud cover and light precipitation, preventing higher readings seen in sunnier analogs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or urban heat discrepancies at central sites, though provisional figures rarely shift significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月16日伦敦气温最高？
4月16日伦敦气温最高？
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$210,070 交易量
$210,070 交易量
2026-04-16
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$210,070 交易量
$210,070 交易量
2026-04-16
12°C或以下
$6,286 交易量
否
13°C
$6,329 交易量
否
14°C
$7,597 交易量
否
15°C
$27,695 交易量
否
16°C
$27,569 交易量
否
17°C
$31,577 交易量
否
18°C
$41,817 交易量
是
19°C
$29,732 交易量
否
20°C
$15,469 交易量
否
21°C
$9,881 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$6,118 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on April 16 reached 18°C at Heathrow, the standard reference station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with post-heatwave stabilization after early April's record 26.6°C in Kew Gardens, as cooler westerly airflow and scattered showers capped intensities per forecast models like the UKV and global ECMWF ensembles. Changeable conditions featured partial cloud cover and light precipitation, preventing higher readings seen in sunnier analogs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or urban heat discrepancies at central sites, though provisional figures rarely shift significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$210,070结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on April 16 reached 18°C at Heathrow, the standard reference station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with post-heatwave stabilization after early April's record 26.6°C in Kew Gardens, as cooler westerly airflow and scattered showers capped intensities per forecast models like the UKV and global ECMWF ensembles. Changeable conditions featured partial cloud cover and light precipitation, preventing higher readings seen in sunnier analogs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or urban heat discrepancies at central sites, though provisional figures rarely shift significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$210,070结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on April 16 reached 18°C at Heathrow, the standard reference station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with post-heatwave stabilization after early April's record 26.6°C in Kew Gardens, as cooler westerly airflow and scattered showers capped intensities per forecast models like the UKV and global ECMWF ensembles. Changeable conditions featured partial cloud cover and light precipitation, preventing higher readings seen in sunnier analogs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or urban heat discrepancies at central sites, though provisional figures rarely shift significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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