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Highest temperature in London on April 11?

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Highest temperature in London on April 11?

14°C 100.0%

13°C or below <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$272,992 交易量

14°C 100.0%

13°C or below <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$272,992 交易量

13°C or below

$74,023 交易量

No

14°C

$37,257 交易量

Yes

15°C

$41,811 交易量

No

16°C

$20,697 交易量

No

17°C

$15,154 交易量

No

18°C

$13,099 交易量

No

19°C

$9,494 交易量

No

20°C

$16,622 交易量

No

21°C

$14,375 交易量

No

22°C

$14,014 交易量

No

23°C or higher

$16,444 交易量

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 14°C in London on April 11, backed by Met Office observational data showing Heathrow reaching 14.7°C as the UK's top maximum that day amid widespread cloud cover and light showers from a passing cool front. This followed an unusually warm early April spike—26.5°C at Kew Gardens on April 8, the hottest first-half April day since 1946—but southerly winds and Atlantic moisture capped potential warming, aligning with pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C. Historical early April averages hover around 13°C, making this outcome consistent with climatological norms post-heat anomaly. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions at stations like Northolt or London City Airport, though official records rarely shift post-validation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$272,992
结束日期
2026-04-11
市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 14°C in London on April 11, backed by Met Office observational data showing Heathrow reaching 14.7°C as the UK's top maximum that day amid widespread cloud cover and light showers from a passing cool front. This followed an unusually warm early April spike—26.5°C at Kew Gardens on April 8, the hottest first-half April day since 1946—but southerly winds and Atlantic moisture capped potential warming, aligning with pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C. Historical early April averages hover around 13°C, making this outcome consistent with climatological norms post-heat anomaly. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions at stations like Northolt or London City Airport, though official records rarely shift post-validation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$272,992
结束日期
2026-04-11
市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Highest temperature in London on April 11?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"14°C",概率为 100%,其次是"13°C or below",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Highest temperature in London on April 11?"已产生 $273K 的总交易量(自Apr 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Highest temperature in London on April 11?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Highest temperature in London on April 11?"的当前领先者是"14°C",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"13°C or below",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Highest temperature in London on April 11?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。