Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 14°C in London on April 11, backed by Met Office observational data showing Heathrow reaching 14.7°C as the UK's top maximum that day amid widespread cloud cover and light showers from a passing cool front. This followed an unusually warm early April spike—26.5°C at Kew Gardens on April 8, the hottest first-half April day since 1946—but southerly winds and Atlantic moisture capped potential warming, aligning with pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C. Historical early April averages hover around 13°C, making this outcome consistent with climatological norms post-heat anomaly. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions at stations like Northolt or London City Airport, though official records rarely shift post-validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on April 11?
Highest temperature in London on April 11?
14°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$272,992 交易量
$272,992 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$272,992 交易量
$272,992 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 14°C in London on April 11, backed by Met Office observational data showing Heathrow reaching 14.7°C as the UK's top maximum that day amid widespread cloud cover and light showers from a passing cool front. This followed an unusually warm early April spike—26.5°C at Kew Gardens on April 8, the hottest first-half April day since 1946—but southerly winds and Atlantic moisture capped potential warming, aligning with pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C. Historical early April averages hover around 13°C, making this outcome consistent with climatological norms post-heat anomaly. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions at stations like Northolt or London City Airport, though official records rarely shift post-validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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