Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations and forecasts showing light rain and persistent cloud cover capping daytime highs. Over the past 48 hours, ongoing showers and overcast skies—triggered by a stable low-pressure system—have limited solar insolation and atmospheric heating, aligning with numerical weather prediction model consensus for a maximum of 21°C amid 18–21°C ranges. Historical April data at the airport supports such subdued peaks during rainy periods, with average highs around 22°C but variability from precipitation. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing brief warming to 22°C, though diminishing daylight and continued rain forecasts make this improbable; final CMA daily report expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 14?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$81,453 交易量
$81,453 交易量
2026-04-14
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$81,453 交易量
$81,453 交易量
2026-04-14
16°C or below
$2,416 交易量
No
17°C
$2,981 交易量
No
18°C
$5,185 交易量
No
19°C
$9,079 交易量
No
20°C
$22,139 交易量
No
21°C
$11,715 交易量
Yes
22°C
$8,242 交易量
No
23°C
$4,452 交易量
No
24°C
$6,242 交易量
No
25°C
$4,211 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$4,791 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations and forecasts showing light rain and persistent cloud cover capping daytime highs. Over the past 48 hours, ongoing showers and overcast skies—triggered by a stable low-pressure system—have limited solar insolation and atmospheric heating, aligning with numerical weather prediction model consensus for a maximum of 21°C amid 18–21°C ranges. Historical April data at the airport supports such subdued peaks during rainy periods, with average highs around 22°C but variability from precipitation. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing brief warming to 22°C, though diminishing daylight and continued rain forecasts make this improbable; final CMA daily report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$81,453结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations and forecasts showing light rain and persistent cloud cover capping daytime highs. Over the past 48 hours, ongoing showers and overcast skies—triggered by a stable low-pressure system—have limited solar insolation and atmospheric heating, aligning with numerical weather prediction model consensus for a maximum of 21°C amid 18–21°C ranges. Historical April data at the airport supports such subdued peaks during rainy periods, with average highs around 22°C but variability from precipitation. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing brief warming to 22°C, though diminishing daylight and continued rain forecasts make this improbable; final CMA daily report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$81,453结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, backed by China Meteorological Administration observations and forecasts showing light rain and persistent cloud cover capping daytime highs. Over the past 48 hours, ongoing showers and overcast skies—triggered by a stable low-pressure system—have limited solar insolation and atmospheric heating, aligning with numerical weather prediction model consensus for a maximum of 21°C amid 18–21°C ranges. Historical April data at the airport supports such subdued peaks during rainy periods, with average highs around 22°C but variability from precipitation. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing brief warming to 22°C, though diminishing daylight and continued rain forecasts make this improbable; final CMA daily report expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题