Official observations from Cape Town International Airport (FACT), the authoritative resolution source via South African Weather Service (SAWS) METAR reports, confirm the highest temperature reached 16°C on April 17, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with SAWS advisories of partly cloudy, cool conditions across the Western Cape, featuring isolated showers and gusty winds from an advancing cold front that suppressed daytime heating despite typical autumn highs around 22°C. Model consensus from preceding days accurately forecasted subdued maxima amid cloud cover and southerly flows. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control audits by SAWS, though such events are exceedingly uncommon for verified airport readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日开普敦气温最高?
4月17日开普敦气温最高?
16°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$44,685 交易量
$44,685 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$44,685 交易量
$44,685 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Cape Town International Airport (FACT), the authoritative resolution source via South African Weather Service (SAWS) METAR reports, confirm the highest temperature reached 16°C on April 17, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with SAWS advisories of partly cloudy, cool conditions across the Western Cape, featuring isolated showers and gusty winds from an advancing cold front that suppressed daytime heating despite typical autumn highs around 22°C. Model consensus from preceding days accurately forecasted subdued maxima amid cloud cover and southerly flows. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control audits by SAWS, though such events are exceedingly uncommon for verified airport readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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