Official observations from the South African Weather Service at Cape Town International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 13, 2026, peaked at 28°C amid fine conditions with light southerly winds, matching SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums near 28°C during autumn's typical mild weather patterns. This verified measurement from automated weather stations—accounting for factors like solar radiation, sea breezes, and Table Mountain's orographic influence—underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C, representing trader consensus on authoritative data with real capital at stake. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control (e.g., sensor calibration errors), though historical precedents show such adjustments affect under 1% of daily records; final validated reports due imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月13日开普敦气温最高?
4月13日开普敦气温最高?
28°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$20,516 交易量
$20,516 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
28°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$20,516 交易量
$20,516 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the South African Weather Service at Cape Town International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 13, 2026, peaked at 28°C amid fine conditions with light southerly winds, matching SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums near 28°C during autumn's typical mild weather patterns. This verified measurement from automated weather stations—accounting for factors like solar radiation, sea breezes, and Table Mountain's orographic influence—underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C, representing trader consensus on authoritative data with real capital at stake. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control (e.g., sensor calibration errors), though historical precedents show such adjustments affect under 1% of daily records; final validated reports due imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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