Market icon

Grok 4.20发布于... ?

2 月 17 日 100.0%

在2月15日之前发布 <1%

2 月 15 日 <1%

2月16日 <1%

Polymarket

$662,720 交易量

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$662,720
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
创建时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok 4.20发布于... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 47+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2 月 17 日" at 100%, followed by "在2月15日之前发布" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok 4.20发布于... ?" has generated $662.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok 4.20发布于... ?," browse the 47+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grok 4.20发布于... ?" is "2 月 17 日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "在2月15日之前发布" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grok 4.20发布于... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Grok 4.20发布于... ?

2 月 17 日 100.0%

在2月15日之前发布 <1%

2 月 15 日 <1%

2月16日 <1%

Polymarket

$662,720 交易量

在2月15日之前发布

$2,977 交易量

2 月 15 日

$17,397 交易量

2月16日

$26,736 交易量

2 月 17 日

$339,317 交易量

2 月 18 日

$15,487 交易量

2 月 19 日

$17,720 交易量

2 月 20 日

$14,583 交易量

2 月 21 日

$14,129 交易量

2月22日

$13,241 交易量

2 月 23 日

$17,374 交易量

2 月 24 日

$16,247 交易量

2 月 25 日

$18,194 交易量

2月26日

$20,379 交易量

2 月 27 日

$18,113 交易量

2 月 28 日

$10,062 交易量

3 月 1 日

$12,480 交易量

3月2日

$5,631 交易量

3月3日

$3,468 交易量

3 月 4 日

$3,391 交易量

3 月 5 日

$3,883 交易量

3 月 6 日

$2,247 交易量

3 月 7 日

$3,054 交易量

3 月 8 日

$3,505 交易量

3月9日

$3,902 交易量

3月10日

$3,203 交易量

3 月 11 日

$1,641 交易量

3 月 12 日

$4,654 交易量

3 月 13 日

$1,255 交易量

3 月 14 日

$2,200 交易量

3 月 15 日

$3,032 交易量

3月16日

$1,015 交易量

3 月 17 日

$3,878 交易量

3 月 18 日

$2,291 交易量

3 月 19 日

$1,515 交易量

3月20日

$2,805 交易量

3月21日

$1,761 交易量

3月22日

$2,557 交易量

3月23日

$3,561 交易量

3月24日

$1,860 交易量

3 月 25 日

$2,042 交易量

3 月 26 日

$1,807 交易量

3 月 27 日

$2,304 交易量

3月28日

$1,224 交易量

3月29日

$2,135 交易量

3 月 30 日

$2,111 交易量

3 月 31 日

$2,294 交易量

截至3月31日未发布

$8,062 交易量

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok 4.20发布于... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 47+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2 月 17 日" at 100%, followed by "在2月15日之前发布" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok 4.20发布于... ?" has generated $662.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok 4.20发布于... ?," browse the 47+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grok 4.20发布于... ?" is "2 月 17 日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "在2月15日之前发布" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grok 4.20发布于... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.