Following the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage draw on December 13, trader consensus positions Portugal as the dominant Group K favorite at 66% implied probability, driven by their elite UEFA pedigree, top-10 FIFA ranking, and stacked roster with Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, and Bernardo Silva providing proven international firepower amid strong recent Nations League results. Colombia holds steady at 31.5% as a credible challenger, bolstered by CONMEBOL qualifier momentum, Copa América semifinal run, and stars like Luis Díaz and Jhon Durán offsetting a mid-tier FIFA rank around 20th. Uzbekistan (1.4%) and the DRC/Jamaica/New Caledonia trio (2.8%) trail due to lower AFC/CAF/CONCACAF/OFC rankings, limited World Cup experience, and weaker recent qualifier form, though upsets remain possible in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus select third-placers advance. No major injuries or roster shifts reported in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于葡萄牙 67%
哥伦比亚 32%
刚果（金）/牙买加/新喀里多尼亚 2.8%
乌兹别克斯坦 1.4%
$17,271 交易量
$17,271 交易量
Jun 27, 2026
葡萄牙
67%
哥伦比亚
32%
刚果（金）/牙买加/新喀里多尼亚
3%
乌兹别克斯坦
1%
葡萄牙 67%
哥伦比亚 32%
刚果（金）/牙买加/新喀里多尼亚 2.8%
乌兹别克斯坦 1.4%
$17,271 交易量
$17,271 交易量
Jun 27, 2026
葡萄牙
$9,898 交易量
67%
哥伦比亚
$2,649 交易量
32%
刚果（金）/牙买加/新喀里多尼亚
$2,466 交易量
3%
乌兹别克斯坦
$2,258 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
交易量
$17,271结束日期
Jun 27, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$17,271结束日期
Jun 27, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage draw on December 13, trader consensus positions Portugal as the dominant Group K favorite at 66% implied probability, driven by their elite UEFA pedigree, top-10 FIFA ranking, and stacked roster with Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, and Bernardo Silva providing proven international firepower amid strong recent Nations League results. Colombia holds steady at 31.5% as a credible challenger, bolstered by CONMEBOL qualifier momentum, Copa América semifinal run, and stars like Luis Díaz and Jhon Durán offsetting a mid-tier FIFA rank around 20th. Uzbekistan (1.4%) and the DRC/Jamaica/New Caledonia trio (2.8%) trail due to lower AFC/CAF/CONCACAF/OFC rankings, limited World Cup experience, and weaker recent qualifier form, though upsets remain possible in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus select third-placers advance. No major injuries or roster shifts reported in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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