Trader consensus prices Netherlands at 59% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group F, reflecting their No. 7 FIFA ranking, unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign under Ronald Koeman, and superior squad depth compared to Japan (20.5%), the Path B playoff winner (13.5% combined for Poland/Sweden), and Tunisia (4.2%). Recent Path B semifinals drove sentiment, with Sweden advancing 3-1 over Ukraine via Viktor Gyökeres' hat-trick despite missing Isak and Kulusevski, while Poland edged Albania on Robert Lewandowski's late header; their March 31 final will finalize the European entrant. Japan's Asian qualifying form and 2022 upset pedigree keep them competitive, but Tunisia's late qualification underscores their underdog status in this matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于荷兰 59%
日本 21%
阿尔巴尼亚/波兰/瑞典/乌克兰 14%
突尼斯 4.1%
$23,236 交易量
$23,236 交易量
荷兰
59%
日本
21%
阿尔巴尼亚/波兰/瑞典/乌克兰
14%
突尼斯
4%
荷兰 59%
日本 21%
阿尔巴尼亚/波兰/瑞典/乌克兰 14%
突尼斯 4.1%
$23,236 交易量
$23,236 交易量
荷兰
59%
日本
21%
阿尔巴尼亚/波兰/瑞典/乌克兰
14%
突尼斯
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Netherlands at 59% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group F, reflecting their No. 7 FIFA ranking, unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign under Ronald Koeman, and superior squad depth compared to Japan (20.5%), the Path B playoff winner (13.5% combined for Poland/Sweden), and Tunisia (4.2%). Recent Path B semifinals drove sentiment, with Sweden advancing 3-1 over Ukraine via Viktor Gyökeres' hat-trick despite missing Isak and Kulusevski, while Poland edged Albania on Robert Lewandowski's late header; their March 31 final will finalize the European entrant. Japan's Asian qualifying form and 2022 upset pedigree keep them competitive, but Tunisia's late qualification underscores their underdog status in this matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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