Mexico's co-host status, including multiple home matches at Estadio Azteca, drives their leading 47.5% implied probability as trader consensus Group A favorite, bolstered by a controlled qualifying campaign and recent friendlies like the win over Belgium. Czechia's dramatic 2-2 penalty shootout triumph over Denmark three days ago—securing qualification after 20 years—has elevated the European playoff winner outcome to 23.5%, injecting playoff momentum into an otherwise underdog European slot. South Korea's stumbles, including a 0-4 loss to Ivory Coast and other recent defeats, temper their 19% odds despite star talent, while South Africa's gritty African qualifying path leaves them as 4.9% longshots in this competitive group where top two advance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于墨西哥 48%
捷克/丹麦/北马其顿/爱尔兰 24%
韩国 19%
南非 4.9%
$22,019 交易量
$22,019 交易量
墨西哥
48%
捷克/丹麦/北马其顿/爱尔兰
24%
韩国
19%
南非
5%
墨西哥 48%
捷克/丹麦/北马其顿/爱尔兰 24%
韩国 19%
南非 4.9%
$22,019 交易量
$22,019 交易量
墨西哥
48%
捷克/丹麦/北马其顿/爱尔兰
24%
韩国
19%
南非
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico's co-host status, including multiple home matches at Estadio Azteca, drives their leading 47.5% implied probability as trader consensus Group A favorite, bolstered by a controlled qualifying campaign and recent friendlies like the win over Belgium. Czechia's dramatic 2-2 penalty shootout triumph over Denmark three days ago—securing qualification after 20 years—has elevated the European playoff winner outcome to 23.5%, injecting playoff momentum into an otherwise underdog European slot. South Korea's stumbles, including a 0-4 loss to Ivory Coast and other recent defeats, temper their 19% odds despite star talent, while South Africa's gritty African qualifying path leaves them as 4.9% longshots in this competitive group where top two advance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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