Trader consensus positions Israel as the frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by its potent diaspora voting bloc and track record of high public support—securing second in the 2024 pure televote with 323 points despite jury backlash. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging consistent fan fervor and regional alliances evident in recent contests like 2024's strong showing. Finland's 11.5% reflects momentum from viral entries and youthful streaming appeal. Absent any 2026 national selections or song announcements amid 2025 preparations in Switzerland, odds mirror historical televote patterns, with geopolitics, entry quality, and bloc voting poised to influence as selections ramp up late next year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 5.8%
$3,347,291 交易量
$3,347,291 交易量
May 16, 2026
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
6%
Denmark
4%
Ukraine
4%
Sweden
4%
Moldova
4%
Bulgaria
2%
Italy
2%
Germany
1%
Cyprus
1%
Switzerland
1%
Australia
1%
Romania
1%
Poland
1%
Malta
1%
Croatia
1%
Montenegro
1%
San Marino
1%
Austria
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Belgium
1%
Estonia
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 5.8%
$3,347,291 交易量
$3,347,291 交易量
May 16, 2026
Israel
$5,397 交易量
36%
Greece
$3,210 交易量
18%
Finland
$3,876 交易量
12%
France
$476,861 交易量
6%
Denmark
$129,993 交易量
4%
Ukraine
$4,117 交易量
4%
Sweden
$1,844,125 交易量
4%
Moldova
$232,935 交易量
4%
Bulgaria
$2,392 交易量
2%
Italy
$4,510 交易量
2%
Germany
$36,761 交易量
1%
Cyprus
$67,150 交易量
1%
Switzerland
$11,706 交易量
1%
Australia
$24,636 交易量
1%
Romania
$4,046 交易量
1%
Poland
$189,261 交易量
1%
Malta
$16,750 交易量
1%
Croatia
$13,952 交易量
1%
Montenegro
$13,500 交易量
1%
San Marino
$3,582 交易量
1%
Austria
$2,477 交易量
1%
Luxembourg
$18,898 交易量
1%
Belgium
$24,143 交易量
1%
Estonia
$167,584 交易量
1%
Azerbaijan
$13,646 交易量
1%
United Kingdom
$2,365 交易量
<1%
Czechia
$2,197 交易量
<1%
Albania
$3,062 交易量
<1%
Serbia
$2,459 交易量
<1%
Latvia
$4,542 交易量
<1%
Lithuania
$3,274 交易量
<1%
Norway
$2,795 交易量
<1%
Portugal
$4,053 交易量
<1%
Armenia
$4,859 交易量
<1%
Georgia
$3,534 交易量
<1%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus positions Israel as the frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by its potent diaspora voting bloc and track record of high public support—securing second in the 2024 pure televote with 323 points despite jury backlash. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging consistent fan fervor and regional alliances evident in recent contests like 2024's strong showing. Finland's 11.5% reflects momentum from viral entries and youthful streaming appeal. Absent any 2026 national selections or song announcements amid 2025 preparations in Switzerland, odds mirror historical televote patterns, with geopolitics, entry quality, and bloc voting poised to influence as selections ramp up late next year.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
交易量
$3,347,291结束日期
May 16, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus positions Israel as the frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by its potent diaspora voting bloc and track record of high public support—securing second in the 2024 pure televote with 323 points despite jury backlash. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging consistent fan fervor and regional alliances evident in recent contests like 2024's strong showing. Finland's 11.5% reflects momentum from viral entries and youthful streaming appeal. Absent any 2026 national selections or song announcements amid 2025 preparations in Switzerland, odds mirror historical televote patterns, with geopolitics, entry quality, and bloc voting poised to influence as selections ramp up late next year.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$3,347,291结束日期
May 16, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Israel as the frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by its potent diaspora voting bloc and track record of high public support—securing second in the 2024 pure televote with 323 points despite jury backlash. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging consistent fan fervor and regional alliances evident in recent contests like 2024's strong showing. Finland's 11.5% reflects momentum from viral entries and youthful streaming appeal. Absent any 2026 national selections or song announcements amid 2025 preparations in Switzerland, odds mirror historical televote patterns, with geopolitics, entry quality, and bloc voting poised to influence as selections ramp up late next year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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