Israel commands a 36% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, propelled by their commanding public vote victory in the 2025 contest in Basel, where they amassed the highest televote tally despite a mixed jury showing, underscoring enduring diaspora support and fan mobilization. Greece at 18% and Finland at 11.5% trail closely, buoyed by consistent televote strength—Greece's melodic pop appeal and Finland's high-energy performances echoing Käärijä's 2023 breakout. With national selections kicking off soon and the 2026 host city pending the overall 2025 winner announcement, trader consensus reflects historical voting patterns favoring catchy entries with viral potential, though early odds remain fluid amid shifting national final outcomes and geopolitical buzz.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 4.1%
$3,417,464 交易量
$3,417,464 交易量

Israel
36%

Greece
18%

Finland
12%

France
4%

Ukraine
4%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
4%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Germany
1%

Cyprus
1%

Switzerland
1%

Australia
1%

Romania
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

San Marino
1%

Austria
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 4.1%
$3,417,464 交易量
$3,417,464 交易量

Israel
36%

Greece
18%

Finland
12%

France
4%

Ukraine
4%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
4%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Germany
1%

Cyprus
1%

Switzerland
1%

Australia
1%

Romania
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

San Marino
1%

Austria
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel commands a 36% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, propelled by their commanding public vote victory in the 2025 contest in Basel, where they amassed the highest televote tally despite a mixed jury showing, underscoring enduring diaspora support and fan mobilization. Greece at 18% and Finland at 11.5% trail closely, buoyed by consistent televote strength—Greece's melodic pop appeal and Finland's high-energy performances echoing Käärijä's 2023 breakout. With national selections kicking off soon and the 2026 host city pending the overall 2025 winner announcement, trader consensus reflects historical voting patterns favoring catchy entries with viral potential, though early odds remain fluid amid shifting national final outcomes and geopolitical buzz.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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