Israel's Noam Bettan with the multilingual pop anthem "Michelle"—blending Hebrew, French, and English—has surged to a 35.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, fueled by explosive streaming numbers, viral reaction videos, and strong diaspora mobilization since its official music video dropped on March 5. Greece's Akylas follows at 18% on the infectious, multi-language "Ferto," which topped Spotify virals post its February national final win and Balkan fan momentum. Finland's high-energy "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen (11.5%) leads overall odds but trails in pure public vote projections due to its theatrical flair favoring juries, while France's rising soprano Monroe's "Regarde!" (9.7%) builds buzz from recent reveals. With all 35 entries confirmed by mid-March, trader consensus reflects early public sentiment ahead of Vienna semis on May 12-14.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 9.6%
$4,035,633 交易量
$4,035,633 交易量
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
10%
Denmark
4%
Ukraine
4%
Moldova
3%
Sweden
3%
Romania
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Italy
1%
Switzerland
1%
Germany
1%
Poland
1%
Luxembourg
1%
San Marino
1%
Malta
1%
Cyprus
1%
Austria
1%
Montenegro
1%
Australia
1%
Estonia
1%
Croatia
1%
Belgium
1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Albania
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 9.6%
$4,035,633 交易量
$4,035,633 交易量
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
10%
Denmark
4%
Ukraine
4%
Moldova
3%
Sweden
3%
Romania
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Italy
1%
Switzerland
1%
Germany
1%
Poland
1%
Luxembourg
1%
San Marino
1%
Malta
1%
Cyprus
1%
Austria
1%
Montenegro
1%
Australia
1%
Estonia
1%
Croatia
1%
Belgium
1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Albania
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's Noam Bettan with the multilingual pop anthem "Michelle"—blending Hebrew, French, and English—has surged to a 35.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, fueled by explosive streaming numbers, viral reaction videos, and strong diaspora mobilization since its official music video dropped on March 5. Greece's Akylas follows at 18% on the infectious, multi-language "Ferto," which topped Spotify virals post its February national final win and Balkan fan momentum. Finland's high-energy "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen (11.5%) leads overall odds but trails in pure public vote projections due to its theatrical flair favoring juries, while France's rising soprano Monroe's "Regarde!" (9.7%) builds buzz from recent reveals. With all 35 entries confirmed by mid-March, trader consensus reflects early public sentiment ahead of Vienna semis on May 12-14.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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