Trader consensus positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 35.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, propelled by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual Hebrew-French-English ballad unveiled March 5—that has ignited early streaming surges and social media buzz, echoing Israel's consistent public vote dominance in recent contests. Greece follows at 18% after Akylas's high-energy "Ferto" triumphed in Sing for Greece on February 15, landing viral spots on Spotify playlists and fueling diaspora support. Finland's duo Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen with fiery "Liekinheitin" (UMK winner February 28) holds third at 11.5%, blending broad appeal but facing jury-televote splits, while France's teen soprano Monroe debuted "Regarde!" March 6 to critical acclaim. With Vienna semis looming May 12-14, ongoing YouTube views and precursor polls could shift these closely contested dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 9.6%
$4,100,122 交易量
$4,100,122 交易量
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
10%
Denmark
4%
Ukraine
4%
Moldova
3%
Sweden
3%
Romania
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Italy
1%
Switzerland
1%
Germany
1%
Poland
1%
Cyprus
1%
Luxembourg
1%
San Marino
1%
Malta
1%
Austria
1%
Montenegro
1%
Australia
1%
Estonia
1%
Croatia
1%
Belgium
1%
Serbia
<1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Albania
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 9.6%
$4,100,122 交易量
$4,100,122 交易量
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
10%
Denmark
4%
Ukraine
4%
Moldova
3%
Sweden
3%
Romania
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Italy
1%
Switzerland
1%
Germany
1%
Poland
1%
Cyprus
1%
Luxembourg
1%
San Marino
1%
Malta
1%
Austria
1%
Montenegro
1%
Australia
1%
Estonia
1%
Croatia
1%
Belgium
1%
Serbia
<1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Albania
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 35.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, propelled by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual Hebrew-French-English ballad unveiled March 5—that has ignited early streaming surges and social media buzz, echoing Israel's consistent public vote dominance in recent contests. Greece follows at 18% after Akylas's high-energy "Ferto" triumphed in Sing for Greece on February 15, landing viral spots on Spotify playlists and fueling diaspora support. Finland's duo Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen with fiery "Liekinheitin" (UMK winner February 28) holds third at 11.5%, blending broad appeal but facing jury-televote splits, while France's teen soprano Monroe debuted "Regarde!" March 6 to critical acclaim. With Vienna semis looming May 12-14, ongoing YouTube views and precursor polls could shift these closely contested dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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