Israel leads the Polymarket televote winner odds for Eurovision 2026 at 33% implied probability, reflecting traders' confidence in the country's unmatched diaspora mobilization and fanbase strength, as demonstrated by Eden Golan's dominant public vote haul in 2024 despite a sixth-place finish. Greece trails at 18.5%, buoyed by consistent regional bloc support and Marina Satti's solid televote performance last year, while Finland's 12% stake draws from Käärijä's viral "Cha Cha Cha" televote triumph in 2023. With no national selections announced and entries due early next year, the fragmented field signals high uncertainty—trader sentiment hinges on song quality, staging, and pre-event hype amid shifting alliances and geopolitical sensitivities. Key catalysts include first broadcaster reveals in Q1 2025.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 34%
Greece 19%
Finland 12%
Sweden 6.4%
$2,102,178 交易量
$2,102,178 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
19%

Finland
12%

Sweden
6%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Moldova
4%

Cyprus
4%

Ukraine
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Germany
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 34%
Greece 19%
Finland 12%
Sweden 6.4%
$2,102,178 交易量
$2,102,178 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
19%

Finland
12%

Sweden
6%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Moldova
4%

Cyprus
4%

Ukraine
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Germany
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel leads the Polymarket televote winner odds for Eurovision 2026 at 33% implied probability, reflecting traders' confidence in the country's unmatched diaspora mobilization and fanbase strength, as demonstrated by Eden Golan's dominant public vote haul in 2024 despite a sixth-place finish. Greece trails at 18.5%, buoyed by consistent regional bloc support and Marina Satti's solid televote performance last year, while Finland's 12% stake draws from Käärijä's viral "Cha Cha Cha" televote triumph in 2023. With no national selections announced and entries due early next year, the fragmented field signals high uncertainty—trader sentiment hinges on song quality, staging, and pre-event hype amid shifting alliances and geopolitical sensitivities. Key catalysts include first broadcaster reveals in Q1 2025.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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