Israel commands a 33.5% implied probability as the early frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner, driven by its dominant performance in 2024 when Eden Golan topped public voting amid global attention and robust diaspora support across Europe. Greece follows at 18.5%, buoyed by Marina Satti's energetic "Zari" entry that secured a solid ninth in last year's televote, signaling sustained fan momentum in the Balkan voting bloc. Finland's 12% reflects lingering hype from Käärijä's 2023 runner-up televote finish and Windows95man's quirky 2024 bid, while Sweden, France, and Denmark trail with perennial strengths in pop production and staging. With national selections still months away—likely kicking off late 2025—this wide-open field underscores high uncertainty, as artist reveals, song quality, and geopolitical buzz could rapidly shift trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 34%
Greece 19%
Finland 12%
Sweden 6.4%
$2,128,002 交易量
$2,128,002 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
19%

Finland
12%

Sweden
6%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Moldova
4%

Ukraine
3%

Cyprus
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Germany
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Romania
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 34%
Greece 19%
Finland 12%
Sweden 6.4%
$2,128,002 交易量
$2,128,002 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
19%

Finland
12%

Sweden
6%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Moldova
4%

Ukraine
3%

Cyprus
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Germany
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Romania
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel commands a 33.5% implied probability as the early frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner, driven by its dominant performance in 2024 when Eden Golan topped public voting amid global attention and robust diaspora support across Europe. Greece follows at 18.5%, buoyed by Marina Satti's energetic "Zari" entry that secured a solid ninth in last year's televote, signaling sustained fan momentum in the Balkan voting bloc. Finland's 12% reflects lingering hype from Käärijä's 2023 runner-up televote finish and Windows95man's quirky 2024 bid, while Sweden, France, and Denmark trail with perennial strengths in pop production and staging. With national selections still months away—likely kicking off late 2025—this wide-open field underscores high uncertainty, as artist reveals, song quality, and geopolitical buzz could rapidly shift trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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