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When will Ethereum Merge to Proof-of-Stake?

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When will Ethereum Merge to Proof-of-Stake?

$2,380,482 交易量

Aug 1, 2022
Polymarket

$2,380,482 交易量

Polymarket
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By May 1, 2022?

$22,532 交易量

No

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By June 1, 2022?

$110,684 交易量

No

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By July 1, 2022?

$241,932 交易量

No

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By August 1, 2022?

$331,711 交易量

No

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By September 1, 2022?

$764,810 交易量

No

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By September 16, 2022?

$88,841 交易量

Yes

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By October 1, 2022?

$622,044 交易量

Yes

Market icon

By November 1, 2022?

$80,532 交易量

Yes

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By January 1, 2023?

$42,357 交易量

Yes

This is a market on if The Merge will occur on the Ethereum mainnet as described in EIP-3675 (or any successor to EIP-3675) by the resolution time, August 1 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, transitioning the Ethereum blockchain to proof-of-stake.

If the first proof-of-stake block (defined in EIP-3675 as TRANSITION_BLOCK) is produced before the resolution time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, the market will resolve "No".

Note, that forks to the execution layer and the consensus layer implementing EIP-3675 will not have any impact on the market resolution. Only the actual occurrence of The Merge will be considered.
交易量
$2,380,482
市场开放时间
Jan 17, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This is a market on if The Merge will occur on the Ethereum mainnet as described in EIP-3675 (or any successor to EIP-3675) by the resolution time, August 1 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, transitioning the Ethereum blockchain to proof-of-stake. If the first proof-of-stake block (defined in EIP-3675 as TRANSITION_BLOCK) is produced before the resolution time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, the market will resolve "No". Note, that forks to the execution layer and the consensus layer implementing EIP-3675 will not have any impact on the market resolution. Only the actual occurrence of The Merge will be considered.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"When will Ethereum Merge to Proof-of-Stake?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"By September 16, 2022?",概率为 100%,其次是"By October 1, 2022?",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"When will Ethereum Merge to Proof-of-Stake?"已产生 $2.4 million 的总交易量(自Jan 18, 2022市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"When will Ethereum Merge to Proof-of-Stake?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"When will Ethereum Merge to Proof-of-Stake?"的当前领先者是"By September 16, 2022?",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"By October 1, 2022?",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"When will Ethereum Merge to Proof-of-Stake?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。